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This Week's Predictions And Analysis

Box Office Insider By Jim Amos | Box Office Insider May 12, 2014 at 5:52PM

A big green monster looks to dethrone the frat boys of "Neighbors" this coming weekend and Disney travels to India to find cricketeers-turned-baseball-players in the sports drama "Million Dollar Arm".
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Godzilla


A big green monster looks to dethrone the frat boys of "Neighbors" this coming weekend and Disney travels to India to find cricketeers-turned-baseball-players in the sports drama "Million Dollar Arm".  Let's take a look...

GODZILLA---WARNER BROTHERS---WIDE--123 MINS---PG-13---IMAX/3D/D-BOX
No, that roar you hear isn't Katy Perry but rather the latest attempt to revive the "Godzilla" franchise.  I still get the shakes thinking about wandering around Madison Square Garden back in 1998 for the premiere of the last "Godzilla" effort, but here 16 years later, I'm willing to give the big green guy another shot and it appears that moviegoers will do the same this coming weekend.   This version of "Godzilla" is directed by relative newcomer Gareth Edwards and stars Bryan Cranston, Elizabeth Olsen, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Sally Hawkins, David Strathairn and Juliet Binoche.  The trailer has been a favorite with audiences for months now and WB's marketing department is smartly going after women in addition to men, especially with the latest 30 second TV spots. The film's 86% Rotten Tomatoes score will help, as will increased average ticket prices, thanks to Imax and 3D, on the film.

JIM'S WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTION:  $ 74 MILLION

CAST: Bryan Cranston, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Ken Watanabe, Elizabeth Olsen, Sally Hawkins, Juliet Binoche.
DIRECTOR: Gareth Edwards
THURSDAY NIGHT LATE SHOWS: 7:00pm

OVERALL YOUTUBE TRAILER VIEWS:  24,000,000   LIKES: 112,000   DISLIKES: 3,500

MILLION DOLLAR ARM--BUENA VISTA--WIDE---124 MINS--PG
From everything I've heard, this film is a true crowd pleaser.  Granted, Rotten Tomatoes has it at a middling 50% but the story of a sports agent (Jon Hamm) who travels to India to recruit cricketeers to play professional baseball in the States, doesn't figure to be the critics' cup of Darjeeling tea.  Hamm is ably assisted by Lake Bell, Alan Arkin and Bill Paxton as former major leaguer Tom House (who actually caught Hank Aaron's 715th home run in the Atlanta Braves bullpen in 1974).  But enough trivia, Disney hopes to lure both a sports audience as well as families.  It remains to be seen whether this works with audiences or not, but they do have a history of successful sports films like "Remember The Titans", "Miracle" and who would ever have thought that a film about the Jamaican bobsled team would work, but somehow it just feels like this film comes to the plate and grounds out to short.

JIM'S WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTION:  $ 15 MILLION

CAST:  Jon Hamm, Aasif Mandvi, Lake Bell, Alan Arkin, Bill Paxton,
DIRECTOR:  Craig Gillespie ("Lars And The Real Girl", "Mr. Woodcock")
THURSDAY NIGHT LATE SHOWS: 7:00PM

OVERALL YOUTUBE TRAILER VIEWS: 350,000   LIKES: 1,500   DISLIKES: 100













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Upcoming Imax Titles

2014
9/5 Forrest Gump
9/26 The Equalizer

Upcoming D-Box Titles

2014
9/19 The Maze Runner

Upcoming 3D Titles

2014
9/26 The Equalizer
10/3 Annabelle

Studio Market Share

Thru August 3rd
1. Fox 18.1% 1,156m
2. Warner Brothers 15.7 998m

Major Film Festivals

8/6 - 8/16 Locarno
8/27 - 9/6 Venice Film Festival