In the runup to the Oscar-predicting BAFTA awards tomorrow – I’m counting on a Colin Firth win and wonder about a possible sentimental sweep for the very British The King’s Speech -- Roger Ebert has the smartest observation I’ve seen about why The King’s Speech will beat The Social Network to win the Oscar.
Ebert says: “A lot of academy voters don't choose the ‘best’ in some categories, but ‘the most advantageous for the movie industry.’ Hollywood churns out violent crap every weekend and then puts on a nice face by supporting a respectable picture at Oscar time. I mean that not as a criticism of “The King's Speech,” which is a terrific film, but as an observation. A British historical drama about a brave man struggling to overcome a disability and then leading his people into World War II looks better to the academy than a cutting-edge portrait of hyperactive nerds.”
Here are all his Oscar predictions including a convincing bet on Hailee Steinfeld to beat Melissa Leo for Supporting Actress.