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Weekend B.O. Nov. 22-24 (As If It’s A Surprise...)

Box Office
by Sergio
November 24, 2013 12:24 PM
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Catching Fire

Of course The Hunger Games: Catching Fire was going to be No.1 this weekend - as if it was going to be a big surprise.

But the question b.o. analysts were asking was whether the film could beat the $174 million weekend b.o. opening that Iron Man 3 made back in May, which still holds the record for the biggest opening for any film this year.

Predictions were all over the place. Most said the film would come in around the $150 million mark, though some early predictions said it could do as much as  $175 million, while on Saturday there were predictions of somewhere around a “disappointing  $135 million.

Only in a bizarre place such as Hollywood would any film making $135 million in a single weekend be considered a disappointment.

But in the end, Catching Fire made a stupendous $161 million (and another $141 million overseas), not beating Iron Man’s record, but does it really matter? That’s a spectacular opening no matter how you slice it, for any film, and put Catching Fire well on its way to being one of the highest grossing films of the year, despite opening so late in the year.

Of course THE more important question you’re probably most wondering is how did The Best Man Holiday hold up? Well for you fans out there, there’s good news and bad news. The bad news, is that the film dropped big, over 58% making, $12.5  million, for a total so far of $50.3 million. As I suspected in my b.o. report last Sunday, the “fanboys” (or more accurately “fangirls”) who really wanted to see the film went out last week. After that, it was more of a “wait and see” attitude among the rest of the film going audience.

The good news however though is that it’s still going to be a big moneymaker, though the film is not going to reach the $100 million mark as some thought it would. At this stage, it’s looking to top out past $70 million, which is twice what the first film made, and considering its very modest $17 million production budget, that puts the film well into the black. And also remember that a third Best Man movie has already been greenlit by Universal.

As for the other main studio release this weekend, the dismal $8.2 million take for the Dreamworks’ comedy Delivery Man proves once again the lackluster appeal of "how-in-the-hell-did-this-guy-ever-become-a-movie-star?" Vince Vaughn. His one-note, fast talking. clueless boor shtick is wearing very thin, if it hasn’t worn out by now. In the real world, he would be tending a bar in some dive somewhere, not getting lead roles in movies.

12 Years A Slave has grossed just over $29 million so far, and looks like it’s headed for close to $50 million domestically.

1) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire LGF $161,125,000 
2) Thor: The Dark World BV $14,117,000  Total: $167,837,000 
3) The Best Man Holiday Uni. $12,522,000 Total: $50,391,000
4) Delivery Man BV $8,215,000 
5) Free Birds Rela. $5,300,000 Total: $48,594,000 
6) Last Vegas CBS $4,400,000 Total: $53,926,000 
7) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa Par. $3,450,000 Total: $95,451,000 
8) Gravity WB $3,305,000  Total: $245,503,000 
9) 12 Years a Slave FoxS $2,800,000 Total: $29,393,000 
10) Dallas Buyers Club Focus $2,770,000 Total: $6,450,000
11) Ender's Game LG/S $2,160,000 Total: $57,378,000  
12) Captain Phillips Sony $1,825,000 - Total: $100,700,000  
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  • Alan Smithee | November 25, 2013 9:47 AMReply

    While BMH is shrewdly profitable, anyone who predicted 100 million clearly has revealed their ignorance of this industry. It was fairly calculated and obvious to most outside the "bubble of black film buzz" where this movie would land. Congrats to Mr. Lee regardless.

  • Dave, the guy who liked cheese | November 25, 2013 4:04 AMReply

    Sergio, you were right the first time with "fanboys". Keep it real real, bruh.

  • CareyCarey | November 24, 2013 10:05 PMReply

    TWO THOUSAND DOLLARS! That's my cume gambling losses for this week, consequently I need something to ease my pain. Laughter, for the most part, for me, always seems to be the cure. And, as an added punch I need the Dallas Cowboys to win tonight's game against the New York Giants or lose by no more than 2 points. I will not break even for the week if they win but my wounds won't be as deep.

    So here I am, as a way to find something to smile about (if only a temporary fix) I thought I'd add my voice to some of these laughable numbers being tossed around. First, SLB thinks the Thanksgiving Holiday will be a shot in the arm of BMH. Well, it's true, families do use movies as a source of family fun time. However, the begging question is, why choose BMH over the other movies? See, I think Sergio was on the right path when he said "fanboys" (or more accurately "fangirls") who really wanted to see the film went out last week". Yep, me think The Best Man Holiday's victory dance will be akin to a person's legs at the end of a grueling 26 mile marathon. They'll make it to the finish line but shaky-shaky-shaky, shake rattle and tired bones will be the dance step they'll do when asked the question "Will y'all make it to the 80 million mark". And, drunk uncle Bob, aunt Lizzy and big momma are not leaving the couch to help BMH reach the 100 million mark. :-O

    Now Mark and Darla brought an interesting perspective. Well, I know the O'Jays had a song that went something like... "(What they do) They smile in your face all the time they want to take your place, the BACK STABBERS. Then it's all of you fellows who better beware, somebody's out to get your lady, a few of your buddies they sure look shady. Blades are long, clenched tight in their fist, aiming straight at your back and I don't think they'll miss!"

    Oh lord, as I said, Mark and Darla opened the door on those backstabbers who smile in your face... all the time them sneaky SOBs wanna take your place, but ERNCHAMP closed the door. In essence, he said backstabbers all wear the same mask which is absent of color. That's right, backstabbers come in all colors.

    But now I'm thinking about this luxury thang Mark & Darla dropped on the floor. I mean, truth be told, filmmaking is a luxury; something - INESSENTIAL - but conducive to pleasure and comfort. In other words, I guess I am suggesting Filmmaking (and the winding road to the top) comes at such a high cost, the "average" black person cannot afford, thus, when they do venture into that deep water with sharks and backstabber, they stand more to lose than their egos. That reminds me, do some blacks follow the shine, glamour and bright lights of a filmmaking career, and thus, leap into that fray wearing blindfolds?

    Consequently, if film-making is a luxury outside the reach of most, could that have an impact on a film's quality, leading some to suggest "black films" are sub-par when compared to "others"? I mean, I have to admit that I was one of those who when hearing the words "it's a black film" I would exit stage left. I came to that point by watching tons of movies, most that fell in the catagory of a black film, imo, were "sub-par" and "cheap". I know, I know, what about a time called now? Does anyone care to share their opinion on this... you know... the evolution of black films... where they've been and where they are a now (black films and the viewer)?

    And, I had something to say on the film "12 years" numbers, but as usual, I ran my mouth (to the outside of lord knows where) a wee bit too much. SORRY :-)

  • slb | November 24, 2013 3:04 PMReply

    I think your prediction of $70 milion for BMH is a little conservative. It's already at $50 million and though it was front-loaded, the Thanksgiving Holiday is coming up and with families and friends getting together, I'm expecting a much smaller drop for next weekend than the 58% of this past weekend. Also, why do you see $50 million total cume for Twelve Years? It's at $29 million with $2.8 million this weekend. Unless Fox Searchlight plans on adding thousands more theaters, I don't see it getting past $40 million when it's all said and done.

  • Hugh Betcha | November 25, 2013 8:36 AM

    Fox Searchlight will complete its' opening of '12 Years A Slave' after the first of the year, in time for the Oscar race. This will be the largest opening for the film since its' release.

  • slb | November 24, 2013 8:28 PM

    Okay. Got it.

  • sergio | November 24, 2013 7:21 PM

    Read what I said again. I said BMH would "top out past $70 million" meaning OVER $70 million. I can see it doing $75 million easy and maybe if the wind blows in the right direction possibly $80 million. But it's going to fall short of $100 million. The competition from now until the end of the year is fierce. It's going to be a struggle to stay in people's minds with everything else that's coming out. And you have Black Navivity which is coming out this week (which is the film that I think people would be more in mind to see during the Thnksgving holiday than BMH) and Medea Christmas in two weeks.

    As for 12 Years that's a prestiege item for Fox Searchlight. They're going to hold on to that film to get every cent they can from it especially if it gets major critic awards and Golden Globes it will. And furthermore if the film get major Oscar nomantions, which it should course look for Fox to re-release again. I still stay "close to $50 million" like $46-50 million and the film has already grossed more than its production cost

  • Mark and Darla | November 24, 2013 3:01 PMReply

    $161 million! Another win for the white folks in hollywood, while black folks backstab each other in hollywood.

  • Mark & Darla | November 24, 2013 4:18 PM

    Rich White folks in Hollywood can play all the backstabbing game they want with each other, in the end only egos are hurt.

    On the other hand black folks don’t have the luxury too backstab each other, our present in Hollywood is too small.

  • Carl | November 24, 2013 4:14 PM

    Just wait, the second HOBBIT movie is coming still. Many more tent poles next year. That's why all this "Best Man" sending a message horse shit is so laughable.

  • ernchamp | November 24, 2013 3:15 PM

    @mark if you don't think white folks in hollywood don't don't know much about tinsletown. its the nature of the beast.

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