2010 Oscar Predictions

by thelostboy
March 3, 2009 3:09 AM
14 Comments
  • |

I can't resist.

And its not a total crap shoot idea either. Last year, I ended up doing pretty well (save for all that Miracle at St. Anna stuff). I actually got 3 of 5 best actor nominees predicted, and rightfully predicted best actress (though my best supporting actor prediction - John Malkovich for Changeling - makes me ill).

2009's crop offers a whole parade of Oscary possibilities - such as your likely biopics (Clint Eastwood's Mandela project, which I'm just gonna call Mandela; Mira Nair's Amelia, Ang Lee's Taking Woodstock, perhaps Spielberg's Lincoln); literary adaptations (Martin Scorcese's Shutter Island, Peter Jackson's The Lovely Bones, Stephen Frears' Cheri, Julie Taymor's The Tempest); huge budget musicals starring everyone you can think of (Rob Marshall's Nine), interesting latest projects from innovative directors (The Coens' A Serious Man, Terrence Malick' The Tree of Life, Paul Greengrass' Green Zone, Steven Soderbergh's The Informant); and lighter, potentially crowdpleasing fare (Sam Mendes' Away We Go, Jason Reitman's Up In The Air, Nancy Meyers's untitled Meryl Streep comedy, Judd Apatow's Funny People). Add that to some huge(r) question marks (James Cameron's Avatar, Jane Campion's Bright Star, John Hillcoat's The Road), and the dozens of films I failed to mention, and this could be a really, really interesting year.

Some things to potentially note:

- It could actually, well, look just like 2007, if the cards fall a very specific (and unlikely way). Imagine this scenario: A Coen brothers film (A Serious Man), a Jason Reitman film (Up In The Air) and a Joe Wright film (The Soloist) nominated for best picture; Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine), Johnny Depp (Public Enemies), and George Clooney (Up In The Air), and Viggo Mortensen (The Road) battle it out for best actor; Marion Cotillard (Nine or Public Enemies), Javier Bardem (Biutiful), Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Boat That Rocked) all among the other acting nominees...

-This could be a very good year for female directors: Kathryn Bigelow, Lone Scherfig, Mira Nair, Nancy Meyers, Jane Campion, Julie Taymor and Nora Ephron all have promising works out there. I'll wager this now: one of them will be a best director nominee. Which one, I really don't know.

-Matt Damon has THREE big performances (Green Zone, The Informant, Mandela), and is extremely overdue for a second acting nomination. I'd say the surest possible thing to say is that he will be nominated in some capacity.

-For the past six years, at least one acting nominee has come out of Sundance. This year Mo'Nique and Carey Mulligan seem like the odds on favourites to fulfill that history.

Anyway, here's my suggested five, winners in bold (all of which I'm sure will be wrong):

BEST PICTURE
The Informant
Mandela
Nine
Shutter Island
Taking Woodstock

BEST DIRECTOR
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Clint Eastwood, Mandela
Ang Lee, Taking Woodstock
Steven Soderbergh, The Informant
Martin Scorcese, Shutter Island

BEST ACTOR
Matt Damon, The Informant
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
Leonardo diCaprio, Shutter Island
Morgan Freeman, Mandela
Demetri Martin, Taking Woodstock

BEST ACTRESS
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Michelle Pfeiffer, Cheri
Maya Rudolph, Away We Go
Hilary Swank, Ameila
Audrey Tatou, Coco avant Chanel

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Damon, Mandela
Jonathan Groff, Taking Woodstock
Richard Kind, A Serious Man
Alfred Molina, An Education
Mark Ruffalo, Shutter Island

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Kathy Bates, Cheri
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Mo'Nique, Precious: Based on the novel by Sapphire
Imelda Staunton, Taking Woodstock
Michelle Williams, Shutter Island

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Away We Go
Broken Embraces
Funny People
A Serious Man
Up

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
An Education
Mandela
Nine
Shutter Island
Taking Woodstock

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Coraline
The Fantastic Mr. Fox
Up

get email updates
  • |

More: Awards Season

You might also like:

14 Comments

  • Cedric | March 7, 2010 3:46 AMReply

    and...the secrets her eyes?

  • Jeff | February 4, 2010 9:32 AMReply

    Have a look at this prediction - He claims that he knows who will win - http://blog.tomedes.com/oscar-winner-2010-best-foreign-language-film/

  • Davis | November 27, 2009 4:14 AMReply

    This is all going to be wrong.
    Did you see Taking Woodstock?!?!

  • WILL | November 18, 2009 9:43 AMReply

    Great list, but i think that vigo mortensen and jhonny depp will be nominated.
    And Matt Damon can win two oscars.

  • oscar | September 17, 2009 10:46 AMReply

    PELÍCULA
    01) Up to the Air
    02) The Lovely Bones
    03) Nine
    04) Up
    05) Invictus
    06) The White Ribbon
    07) The Road
    08) Precious
    09) The Hurt Locker
    10) Julie & Julia
    11) A Single Man
    12) An Education
    13) Bright Star
    14) A Serious Man
    15) Whatever Works
    16) Capitalism: A Love Story
    17) The Informant
    18) Chéri
    19) Inglourious Basterds
    20) Is Anybody There ?


    DIRECTOR
    01) Jason Reitman - Up in the Air
    02) Michael Haneke - The White Ribbon
    03) Clint Eastwood - Invictus
    04) Peter Jackson - The Lovely Bones
    05) Rob Marshall - Nine
    06) Kathryn Bigelow - The Hurt Locker
    07) Lee Daniels - Precious
    08) Lone Scherfig - An Education
    09) Joel Coen & Ethan Coen - A Serious Man
    10) Stephen Frears - Chéri


    ACTOR
    01) Morgan Freeman - Invictus
    02) George Clooney - Up to the Air
    03) Christopher Plummer - The Last Station
    04) Michael Caine - Is Anybody There?
    05) Daniel Day-Lewis - Nine
    06) Colin Firth - A Single Man
    07) Robert Duvall - Get Low
    08) Paul Bettany - Creation
    09) Viggo Mortensen - The Road
    10) Michael Douglas - Solitary Man


    ACTRIZ
    01) Meryl Streep - Julie & Julia
    02) Michelle Pfeiffer - Chéri
    03) Gabourey Sidibe - Precious
    04) Emily Watson - Within the Whirlwind
    05) Hilary Swank - Amelia
    06) Julianne Moore - Chloe
    07) Naomi Watts - Mother and Child
    08) Kristin Scott Thomas - Nowhere Boy
    09) Helen Mirren - The Last Station
    10) Brenda Blethyn - London River


    ACTOR DE REPARTO
    01) Matt Damon - Invictus
    02) Stanley Tucci - The Lovely Bones
    03) Christoph Waltz - Inglorious Bastards
    04) Alfred Molina - An Education
    05) Kodi Smit-McPhee - The Road
    06) Samuel L. Jackson - Mother and Child
    07) James McAvoy - The Last Station
    08) Richard Gere - Amelia
    09) Bill Nighy - The Boat that Rocked
    10) Jeff Bridges - The Men Who Stare at Goats


    ACTRIZ DE REPARTO
    01) Annette Benning - Mother and Child
    02) Susan Sarandon - The Lovely Bones
    03) Penélope Cruz - Nine
    04) Judi Dench - Nine
    05) Sissy Spacek - Get Low
    06) Kathy Bates - Chéri
    07) Amy Adams - Julie & Julia
    08) Anna Kendrick - Up in the Air
    09) Patricia Clarkson - Whatever Works
    10) Rachel Weisz - The Lovely Bones


    GUIÓN ADAPTADO
    01) Up in the air
    02) The Lovely Bones
    03) Invictus
    04) Nine
    05) Precious
    06) Julie & Julia
    07) A Single Man
    08) An Education
    09) The Road
    10) The Last Station


    GUIÓN ORIGINAL
    01) Up
    02) The Hurt Locker
    03) The White Ribbon
    04) Is Anybody There?
    05) A Serious Man
    06) Bright Star
    07) (500) Days of Summer
    08) Whatever Works
    09) Inglorious Bastards
    10) Broken Embraces


    PELÍCULA ANIMADA
    01) Up
    02) The Princess & The Frog
    03) A Christmas Carol
    04) Ponyo
    05) Coraline
    06) The Fantastic Mr. Fox
    07) 9
    08) Ice Age 3
    09) Monsters vs. Aliens
    10) G-Force

  • Jim | August 31, 2009 10:02 AMReply

    HAHAHHAHAHA HOLY SHIT! You picked Demetri Martin! hahhahahah you are an IDIOT! Oh my god you are fucking terrible! (I forgot to mention this in the last post)

  • Jim | August 31, 2009 10:01 AMReply

    Wow- Taking Woodstock isn't going to get nominated for ONE award, let alone get nominated and win for Best Picture... I know this was before the movie flopped, but come on- if you're going to be foolish enough to predict an award show a YEAR away- at least pick something that might have a chance. Taking Woodstock never had one. Your site fucking blows man- It's funny to see your ignorance shown to the two people that actually have come to see your picks (yeah i know i am one of them- but once was enough for a visit). You don't even have fucking Malick as a Director consideration- but oh wait it's Ang Lee's to lose, right? Stay out of anything Oscar related- you are POSEUR.

  • oscar | August 25, 2009 9:59 AMReply

    BEST FILM
    An Education
    Bright Star
    Chéri
    Invictus
    Is Anybody There?
    Julie & Julia
    The Lovely Bones
    Nine
    Up
    Whatever Works


    BEST DIRECTOR
    Jane Campion - Bright Star
    Stephen Frears - Chéri
    Clint Eastwood - Invictus
    Peter Jackson - The Lovely Bones
    Rob Marshall - Nine


    BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
    Michael Caine - Is Anybody There?
    Daniel Day-Lewis - Nine
    Morgan Freeman - Invictus
    Christopher Plummer - The Last Station
    Mark Wahlberg - The Lovely Bones


    BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
    Marion Cotillard - Nine
    Michelle Pfeiffer - Chéri
    Saoirse Ronan - The Lovely Bones
    Hilary Swank - Amelia
    Emily Watson - Within the Whirlwind


    BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
    Matt Damon - Invictus
    Alfred Molina - An Education
    Bill Nighy - Glorious 39
    Stanley Tucci - The Lovely Bones
    Christoph Waltz - Inglorious Bastards


    BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
    Kathy Bates - Chéri
    Julie Christie - Glorious 39
    Penélope Cruz - Nine
    Susan Sarandon - The Lovely Bones
    Meryl Streep - Julie & Julia


    ADAPTATED SCREENPLAY
    An Education
    Chéri
    Invictus
    The Lovely Bones
    Nine


    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    Bright Star
    Is Anybody There?
    The Hurt Locker
    Up
    Whatever Whings


    ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
    Coraline
    Ice Age 3
    Ponyo
    The Princess & The Frog
    Up


    FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
    Broken Embraces (Spain)
    The Milk of Sorrow (Peru)

  • FERNANDO | July 30, 2009 3:05 AMReply

    BEST ACTRESS: SARAH MICHELLE GELLAR FOR VERONIKA DECIDES TO DIE.... AMAZING PERFORMACE

  • oscar | July 15, 2009 11:51 AMReply

    BEST FILM

    01) Shuttter Island

    02) The Lovely Bones

    03) Chéri

    04) Invictus

    05) Nine

    06) An Education

    07) Bright Star

    08) Up

    09) Amelia

    10) Precious

    11) The Hurt Locker

    12) Is Anybody There?

    13) Love Ranch

    14) Whatever Whings

    15) Public Enemies

    16) Away We Go
    17) The Road

    18) Julie & Julia

    19) Taking Woodstock

    20) Inglorious Bastards





    BEST DIRECTOR

    01) Martin Scorsese - Shuttter Island

    02) Clint Eastwood - Invictus

    03) Stephen Frears - Chéri

    04) Rob Marshall - Nine

    05) Peter Jackson - The Lovely Bones

    06) Lone Scherfig - An Education

    07) Woody Allen - Whatever Works

    08) Jane Campion - Bright Star

    09) Mira Nair - Amelia

    10) Taylor Hadford - Love Ranch





    BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

    01) Leonardo DiCaprio - Shuttter Island

    02) Michael Caine - Is Anybody There?

    03) Daniel Day-Lewis - Nine

    04) Morgan Freeman - Invictus

    05) Christopher Plummer - The Last Station

    06) Peter Sarsgaard - An Education

    07) Joe Pesci - Love Ranch

    08) Robert De Niro - Everybody's Fine

    09) Brad Pitt - The Tree of Life

    10) Johnny Depp - Public Enemies





    BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

    01) Michelle Pfeiffer - Chéri

    02) Audrey Tautou - Coco Avant Chanel

    03) Hilary Swank - Amelia

    04) Emily Watson - Within the Whirlwind

    05) Carey Mulligan - An Education

    06) Helen Mirren - The Last Station

    07) Robin Wright Penn - The Privates Lives of Pipa Lee

    08) Jennifer Connelly – Creation

    09) Carey Mulligan - An Education

    10) Saoirse Ronan - The Lovely Bones





    BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

    01) Stanley Tucci - The Lovely Bones

    02) Bill Nighy - The Boat that Rocked

    03) Matt Damon - Invictus

    04) Ben Kingsley - Shuttter Island

    05) James McAvoy - The Last Station

    06) Christoph Waltz - Inglorious Bastards

    07) Alfred Molina - An Education

    08) Christian Bale - Public Enemies

    09) Jeff Daniels - Away We Go

    10) Ewan McGregor - Amelia





    BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

    01) Judi Dench - Nine

    02) Kathy Bates - Chéri

    03) Meryl Streep - Julie & Julia

    04) Rachel Weisz - The Lovely Bones

    05) Patricia Clarkson - Whatever Works

    06) Imelda Staunton - Taking Woodstock

    07) Emily Mortimer - Shutter Island

    08) Susan Sarandon - The Lovely Bones

    09) Penélope Cruz - Nine

    10) Michelle Williams - Shutter Island





    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    01) Shuttter Island

    02) Chéri

    03) The Lovely Bones

    04) Nine

    05) Invictus

    06) The Private Lives of Pippa Lee

    07) Amelia

    08) Within the Whirlwind

    09) Julie & Julia

    10) From Time to Time





    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    01) Up

    02) Is Anybody There?

    03) An Education

    04) Tetro

    05) Whatever Whings

    06) Inglorious Bastards

    07) Public Enemies

    08) A Serious Man

    09) My Sister's Keeper

    10) Love Ranch

  • gamus | June 18, 2009 5:24 AMReply

    My predictions for best picture:
    The Road
    Tree of Life
    Public Enemies
    Nine
    The Informant

  • Engin Sevim | April 6, 2009 10:20 AMReply

    Best Picture:

    Nine
    Lovely Bones
    Precious: Based On The Novel "Push" By Sapphire
    Biutiful
    Amelia


    Best Animation:

    Up
    The Princess And The Frog
    Fantastis Mr Fox

  • Rory | March 4, 2009 2:14 AMReply

    I've been following "Away We Go" since it was first announced. I agree that it has a really good chance in the Original Screenplay category since a majority of the "main" opponents would be Adapted Screenplay. However, I don't quite understand the Maya nomination. If they do go with an actress from a comedy, they might just go with Meryl for the Nancy Meyers project or even Amy Adams or Emily Blunt from "Sunshine Cleaning." I just don't see Maya as competition as Grace from "Away We Go."

  • Fred | March 3, 2009 1:36 AMReply

    it's very hard to predict a year ahead but I totally agree on your predictions for Taking Woodstock. I hope Ang Lee will become the first Asian director to get the oscar for best picture.
    Concerning the actors and the actresses, I express some doubts as far as Tautou is concerned.
    Nice pick in the best supporting category; Ruffalo was perfect In Zodiac and so he will be in Shutter Island.
    The Lovely Bones and Tree of Life have strong chances, to my opinion.

Follow Me

Latest Tweets

Follow us

Most "Liked"