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Oscars: The Playlist Final Predictions For The 2013 Academy Awards

Awards
by Oliver Lyttelton
February 21, 2013 10:58 AM
15 Comments
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Best Original Score

1. "Life of Pi" - Mychael Danna
2. "Skyfall" - Thomas Newman
3. "Argo"  - Alexandre Desplat
4. "Lincoln" - John Williams
5. "Anna Karenina" - Dario Marianelli

Should Win: "Anna Karenina" -- there's no score on this list that's more inventive or listenable. "Life Of Pi" is damn close, though.
Will Win: One of the toughest categories to call -- you could make an argument for almost anything. 'Pi' seems to be the one to win after the precursors, but don't count out BAFTA-winner Thomas Newman (who's never won before) or the "Argo" juggernaut.

Best Production Design

1. "Anna Karenina" - Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer
2. "LIfe Of Pi" - David Gropman and Anna Pinnock
3. "The Hobbit; An Unexpected Journey" - Dan Hennah, Ra Vincent, Simon Bright
4. "Les Miserables" - Eve Stewart and Anna Lynch-Robinson
5. "Lincoln" - Rick Carter, Jim Erickson

Should Win: "Anna Karenina," which is the most obviously (and deliberately) stage-bound, and gorgeous with it.
Will WIn: Almost certainly "Anna Karenina," if only because I can't imagine a scenario where anything else takes it. The only slight possibillity is if "Life Of Pi" manages a "Hugo"-style technical sweep, but this category will probably prove resistant.

Best Costume Design

1. "Anna Karenina" - Jacqueline Durran
2. "Mirror Mirror" - Eiko Ishioka
3. "Snow White and the Huntsman" - Colleen Atwood
4. "Lincoln" - Joanna Johnston
5. "Les Miserables" - Paco Delgado

Should Win: Despite my all-consuming love for "Anna Karenina," I'd almost argue that "Mirror Mirror" deserves it more -- Tarsem's films are essentially just a showcase for costume design anyway.
Will Win: "Anna Karenina," almost certainly, unless the Academy want to honor Ishioka's passing with a posthumous award. But the chances are relatively slim.

"Argo" Warner Bros.
Best Film Editing

1. "Argo" - William Goldenberg
2. "Zero Dark Thirty" - Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg
3. "Life Of Pi" - Tim Squyres
4. "Lincoln" - Michael Kahn
5. "Silver Linings Playbook" - Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers

Should Win: Either of the William Goldenberg films would be acceptable, but I'd probably pick "Zero Dark Thirty," which makes a 160 minute film feel closer to 120.
Will Win: "Argo" is the overwhelming favorite here. If anything else wins, it's an indication that there's been another Affleck backlash, and Best Picture is going to something else.

Best Cinematography

1. "Life Of Pi" - Claudio Miranda
2. "Skyfall" - Roger Deakins
3. "Anna Karenina" - Seamus McGarvey
4. "Lincoln" - Janusz Kaminski
5. "Django Unchained" - Robert Richardson

Should Win: Roger Deakins, for certain. He's been at bat ten times without winning, and the Bond movie sees him pull off some of his most stunning work to date.
Will Win: Many believe that the overdue factor will see Deakins finally get the prize this year, but I'm not so sure. Few Academy members would be able to pick the DoP out of a line up, and even then, his name isn't listed on the ballot. As such, given the success of "Hugo," "Inception" and "Avatar" in recent years, I reckon the visual splendors of "Life of Pi" will win out here.

Best Animated Feature

1. "Brave"
2. "Frankenweenie"
3. "Wreck-It Ralph"
4. "ParaNorman"
5. "The Pirates! Band Of Misfits"

Should Win: I'd go with "Brave." It's not quite grade-A Pixar, but in a line-up of solid-but-unexceptional films, was a deceptively intimate and beautiful film, and the most distinctive of the five.
Will Win: Probably going against the grain here, but after success with BAFTA and others, I think we could see Pixar returning to the stage after missing out in 2011. "Frankenweenie' and "ParaNorman" sort of cancel each other out, and "Wreck-It Ralph" feels too corporate.

Best Documentary - Feature

1. "Searching For Sugar Man"
2. "The Gatekeepers"
3. "How To Survive A Plague"
4. "5 Broken Cameras"
5. "The Invisible War"

Should Win: With the caveat that I haven't seen "The Gatekeepers" yet, I'd go with "The Invisible War" here, which I found immensely powerful, compassionate, and has brought about real, bona-fide change.
Will Win: "Searching For Sugar Man" has cut a swathe through the precursor awards, and while it's not as "important" as the other nominees, its the most feel-good.

Best Foreign Language Film

1. "Kon-Tiki"
2. "Amour"
3. "A Royal Affair"
4. "No"
5. "War Witch"

Should Win: "No" -- one of the best films of 2013, a funny, vibrant, formally experimental and incredibly smart film.
Will Win: It won't be "No," that's for certain. "Amour" would seem to be the frontrunner, but voters have sometimes shied away from films awarded elsewhere (see "Pan's Labyrinth" in 2007). I may come to regret this one, but I have a hunch that Weinstein power could see "Kon-Tiki" prove a surprise here.

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15 Comments

  • Rohit | February 24, 2013 2:19 PMReply

    An amateur's predictions:
    Picture - Argo
    Director - Ang Lee (Life of Pi)
    Actor - Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
    Actress - Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
    Supporting Actor - Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
    Supporting Actress - Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
    Adapted Screenplay - Chris Terrio (Argo)
    Original Screenplay - Michael Haneke (Amour)
    Cinematography - Life of Pi
    Foreign Language Film - Amour
    Animated Film - Frankenweenie

  • Civil | February 22, 2013 11:03 PMReply

    Yet another "FINAL PREDICTIONS" post filled with rock-solid predictions in the form of: "most people think [A] will take it, but [B] and [C] have a lot of momentum, so does [D]. Look out for a possible late surge from [E], too. My gut tells me it's one of these five nominees for sure". I know this is just a job for yall but goddamn, quality over quantity, my nigs...

  • Sean | February 22, 2013 1:34 AMReply

    Supporting actor is by far the toughest award....complete toss up.. AS LONG AS ARGO WINS BEST PICTURE I WILL BE HAPPY! Iv said it for months & months b4 it started winnning the slew of awards... IT IS BY FAR THE BEST OVERALL COMPLETE PICUTRE!!!! (& another thing Affleck not gettin a nod is a complete travesty fucking disgrace academy fucking disgrace)

  • Mass | February 23, 2013 4:41 PM

    I called ARGO winning Best Picture the first day this website made their list. Back when we were all pulling for THE MASTER. Back when ARGO wasn't even out in theaters. I would t mind seeing SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK or ARGO taking home best picture. If LINCOLN wins anything besides Best Actor I'll laugh my ass off. It'll be the brginning of the end for the Academy.

  • DG | February 21, 2013 6:44 PMReply

    Would prefer to see Silver Linings take best pic but if that can't happen Argo is a fine second best. ZeroDark thirty was the most over rated movie of the awards season, I found nothing to get excited about there. Lincoln would just be too cliche.

  • Efren | February 21, 2013 1:13 PMReply

    I hope this isn't the case. If some of these predictions are true than the Oscars will be terrible once again.

  • cirkusfolk | February 21, 2013 12:28 PMReply

    I have Amour winning best Foreign film, director, actress and screenplay. Now I think I over did it, but I had to be risky.

  • Mass | February 21, 2013 11:36 AMReply

    If SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK doesn't take home Best Picture, ARGO will. SLP will probably win in the screenwriting and Director category.

    LINCOLN was terrible, the Academy are just Spielberg fanboys, hence their incredibly awful nominations last year: WAR HORSE. Not only was LINCOLN historically innacurate and untruthful about LINCOLN'S true intentions in initiating the bloodiest War in Americas history, the Civil War (it was never a morally fought war, in regards to Slaves, it was a war fought for land and Lincolns beloved Union. Lincoln was a racist bigot like everyone else. Before he was assasinated, he was creating plans on deporting every African American to disease ridding places in South America.) but it also had shoddy writing and terrible pacing. It's a film you "have" to like, simply because of the subject matter.

  • Mass | February 21, 2013 11:36 AMReply

    If SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK doesn't take home Best Picture, ARGO will. SLP will probably win in the screenwriting and Director category.

    LINCOLN was terrible, the Academy are just Spielberg fanboys, hence their incredibly awful nominations last year: WAR HORSE. Not only was LINCOLN historically innacurate and untruthful about LINCOLN'S true intentions in initiating the bloodiest War in Americas history, the Civil War (it was never a morally fought war, in regards to Slaves, it was a war fought for land and Lincolns beloved Union. Lincoln was a racist bigot like everyone else. Before he was assasinated, he was creating plans on deporting every African American to disease ridding places in South America.) but it also had shoddy writing and terrible pacing. It's a film you "have" to like, simply because of the subject matter.

  • Mass | February 21, 2013 11:35 AMReply

    If SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK doesn't take home Best Picture, ARGO will. SLP will probably win in the screenwriting and Director category.

    LINCOLN was terrible, the Academy are just Spielberg fanboys, hence their incredibly awful nominations last year: WAR HORSE. Not only was LINCOLN historically innacurate and untruthful about LINCOLN'S true intentions in initiating the bloodiest War in Americas history, the Civil War (it was never a morally fought war, in regards to Slaves, it was a war fought for land and Lincolns beloved Union. Lincoln was a racist bigot like everyone else. Before he was assasinated, he was creating plans on deporting every African American to disease ridding places in South America.) but it also had shoddy writing and terrible pacing. It's a film you "have" to like, simply because of the subject matter.

  • kindred spirit | February 21, 2013 11:29 AMReply

    AMY ADAMS all the way. And Phoenix and Hoffman. The MASTER should have been nominated- so much more deserving that crap like Les Miz and SLP. PTA is a true auteur- O' Russell is a fool in a nice suit and hipster shades (who gropes his niece).

  • Liam | February 21, 2013 7:41 PM

    "AMY ADAMS all the way. And Phoenix and Hoffman. The MASTER should have been nominated- so much more deserving that crap like Les Miz and SLP. PTA is a true auteur- O' Russell is a fool in a nice suit and hipster shades"

    Yeah I have to agree on this. Worst movies of the year: Les Miserables & SLP. Even Taken 2 was more watchable, and I'm serious.

  • Damian | February 21, 2013 11:15 AMReply

    Which Supporting Actor nominee do you think is undeserving?

  • Jim | February 21, 2013 7:42 PM

    Christoph Watlz was awesome in Django!

  • BEF | February 21, 2013 1:56 PM

    I think the writer sees Hoffman as the only of the five to be deserving of a nomination. I actually agree.

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