By Oliver Lyttelton | www.oliverlyttelton.com December 11, 2012 at 4:02PM
Given that the former shares a similar membership to the Academy, it always offers a few clues (like last year's surprise nominee Demian Bichir), though don't always match up exactly (Armie Hammer and Tilda Swinton were among those honored by the guild who missed out with the Academy). The rightfully derided HFPA are essentially star-fuckers, and in a year in which Oscar nominations will be announced before the Globes are awarded, are less important than ever. But the awards do get more publicity than any other precursor, so they may be able to suggest some influence in some ways, at least with their nominations. And if nothing else, in a year where they can't vote for regulars Angelina Jolie and Johnny Depp, it'll be interesting to see who does step in.
We've made our predictions for both the SAGs and the Globes below; let us know your own in the comments section, and check back in the next couple of days to see how they turned out. SAGs below, Globes on page 2.
"Silver Linings Playbook"
"Zero Dark Thirty"
The SAG's equivalent of the Best Picture prize, this was never going to be something that "Life Of Pi" was contending for. We suspect that "The Master" may not have the depth of a supporting cast that usually pays off in this category, but don't be entirely surprised if "Zero Dark Thirty" falls out and Paul Thomas Anderson's film, "Moonrise Kingdom" or "Django Unchained," fall in instead.
Best Male Actor In A Leading Role
Denzel Washington - "Flight"
Daniel Day-Lewis - "Lincoln"
Joaquin Phoenix - "The Master"
John Hawkes - "The Sessions"
Bradley Cooper - "Silver Linings Playbook"
Again, this reflects our thinking in terms of the Oscars, though Cooper's neck and neck with Jackman, who might take his place. If the SAG throw in a Demian Bichir-style curveball, it'll be Jean-Louis Trintignant, Richard Gere or (very, very faintly) Denis Lavant.
Emmanuelle Riva - "Amour"
Quvenzhane Wallis - "Beasts Of The Southern Wild"
Rachel Weisz - "The Deep Blue Sea"
Jennifer Lawrence - "Silver Linings Playbook"
Jessica Chastain - "Zero Dark Thirty"
With some heat off the critics' awards, our hunch is that Rachel Weisz could surprise with a place in the final five here. But Helen Mirren, Keira Knightely, Marion Cotillard and Naomi Watts are all snapping at her heels.
Best Male Actor In A Supporting Role
Alan Arkin - "Argo"
Leonardo DiCaprio - "Django Unchained"
Tommy Lee Jones - "Lincoln"
Philip Seymour Hoffman - "The Master"
Robert De Niro - "Silver Linings Playbook"
Again a tough one to call, but we think the SAGs will take Alan Arkin more seriously than Matthew McConaughey. We have our doubts about the appeal of "Les Miserables" to the SAG, but if they do love it, look for Eddie Redmayne to sneak in here too.
Ann Dowd - "Compliance"
Anne Hathaway - "Les Miserables"
Sally Field - "Lincoln"
Amy Adams - "The Master"
Helen Hunt - "The Sessions"
Now firmly in the race thanks to some key precursor wins and nominations, we think Ann Dowd gets the surprise indie nomination this year. The rest of the field is business as usual, and yes, Hathaway wins.