By Oliver Lyttelton | www.oliverlyttelton.com February 8, 2013 at 3:03PM
We're two weeks out from the Academy Awards, but this weekend brings the last of the major precursor ceremonies (excluding the WGAs) before Oscars -- the British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards, or the BAFTAs. Historically leaning more towards celebrating homegrown fare than following the award season narratives, things have changed in the last few years with BAFTA moving the ceremony before the Oscars, and with a significant proportion of AMPAS members being British, it can be a good indicator of how things will go with the Academy.
This year, the nominees quite often match up fairly closely with the Oscars, but there's enough difference in both those nominated and in the voting patterns that it's no guarantee this is how it will play out at the Dolby Theater. So with the ceremony only 48 hours away, we've taken a stab at saying who will (and who should) win BAFTAs in each category. Check our picks out below, make your own in the comments section, and check back here on Sunday afternoon to find out the victors.
Should Win: As ever, it's a slightly odd mix, with people at very different stages of their careers. I like everyone nominated, it should be said, but our vote was for Alicia Vikander, who was the luminous highlight of "Anna Karenina."
Will Win: A tricky to one to call; unlike previous years, there's no major names here, and no one to court the 'youth' vote, as it were, that won Noel Clarke and Adam Deacon the prize in the past. I think Suraj Sharma's probably got the best chance, if only because his film was the most successful, but Juno Temple or Andrea Riseborough are the best bets.
"The Voorman Project"
"Here To Fall"
"I'm Fine Thanks"
"The Making Of Longbird"
Should Win: Confessions -- I've been so busy chasing up the Oscar shorts that I haven't had time to watch the BAFTA ones, bar Lynne Ramsay's Olympics-themed "Swimmer." But it was very good, so let's go for that.
Bart Layton, Dimitri Doganis - "The Imposter"
David Morris, Jacqui Morris - "McCullin"
Dexter Fletcher, Danny King - "Wild Bill"
James Bobin - "The Muppets"
Tina Gharavi - "I Am Nasrine"
Should Win: Having not seen "I Am Nasrine," I'd lean towards either Dexter Fletcher and Danny King, whose "Wild Bill" was very much underseen, or David and Jacqui Morris, whose "McCullin" is one of the best documentaries I've seen in a long while.
Will Win: "The Imposter" boys are probably in with the best chance, though James Bobin could come through too.
"Rust & Bone"
Should Win: "The Hunt"! A million times "The Hunt." Thomas Vinterberg's film hasn't been included in the awards race much thus far, seeing as it's not due for U.S. release until the summer, but it was one of the very best films of 2012 and more than deserves recognition here.
Will Win: Given a Best Director nomination for Michael Haneke, "Amour" seems like the smart bet here. "Rust & Bone" is the potential spoiler.
Dario Marianelli - "Anna Karenina"
Alexandre Desplat - "Argo"
Mychael Danna - "Life of Pi"
John Williams - "Lincoln"
Thomas Newman - "Skyfall"
Should Win: Mychael Danna's "Life of Pi" score is gorgeous, but I'm fonder of Dario Marianelli's work on "Anna Karenina."
Will Win: A very tough category, actually -- almost anything could take it. Probably down to Marianelli, Danna and Thomas Newman's "Skyfall" score, and I reckon the latter will come out on top.
Seamus McGarvey - "Anna Karenina"
Danny Cohen - "Les Miserables"
Claudio Miranda - "Life of Pi"
Janusz Kaminski - "Lincoln"
Roger Deakins - "Skyfall"
Should Win: Roger Deakins is undoubtedly deserving, but Seamus McGarvey's never won a BAFTA, so I'd probably vote for his stunning work on "Anna Karenina."
Will Win: While he's famously never won an Oscar, Deakins has three BAFTAs (the most recent for "True Grit" only two years ago), so the sense of him being overdue isn't quite the same. Of course, it does mean that he's a proven favorite with BAFTA voters, but we'd still lean towards Claudio Miranda here.
William Goldenberg - "Argo"
Fred Raskin - "Django Unchained"
Tim Squyres - "Life of Pi"
Stuart Baird -"Skyfall"
Dylan Tichenor, William Goldenberg - "Zero Dark Thirty"
Should Win: I don't mind which film it goes too, so long as William Goldenberg gets a prize -- the work on "Argo" and "Zero Dark Thirty" is about as good as film editing gets. Let's go with the latter, just so he can share the love with Dylan Tichenor.
Will Win: BAFTA love "Argo," but they also love "Life of Pi, "so either could take it, but I'm betting on a win for the showier transitions of the latter.
Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer - "Anna Karenina"
Eve Stewart, Anna Lynch-Robinson - "Les Miserables"
David Gropman, Anna Pinnock - "Life of Pi"
Rick Carter, Jim Erickson - "Lincoln"
Dennis Gassner, Anna Pinnock - "Skyfall"
Should Win: "Anna Karenina," hands down.
Will Win: Proabably "Anna Karenina," though don't count out "Skyfall" or "Les Miserables" either.
Jacqueline Durran - "Anna Karenina"
Beatrix Aruna Pasztor - "Great Expectations"
Paco Delgado - "Les Miserables"
Joanna Johnston - "Lincoln"
Colleen Atwood - "Snow White and the Huntsman"
Should Win: Oh, look, "Great Expectations"! That was a film! Anyway, this should probably be "Anna Karenina," though Atwood's work on 'Snow White' was impressive too.
Will Win: "Anna Karenina," easy.
Ivana Primorac - "Anna Karenina"
Julie Hewett, Martin Samuel, Howard Berger - "Hitchcock"
Peter Swords King, Richard Taylor, Rink Findlater - "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey"
Lisa Westcott - "Les Miserables"
Lois Burwell, Kay Georgiou - "Lincoln"
Should Win: Anything but "Hitchcock." Probably "The Hobbit," if only because it had the showier prosthesis.
Will Win: Probably "The Hobbit," though "Anna Karenina" could conceivably pick up a third here too.