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Premature Oscar Predictions: The 2015 Best Picture Contenders

Features
by Oliver Lyttelton
March 5, 2014 1:19 PM
54 Comments
  • |

The star of "Ghosts Of Girlfriends Past" and the singer from 30 Seconds Of Mars are Oscar winners, "12 Years A Slave" beat "Gravity," Adele Tazeem became the most famous non-existent person on the planet, and no one's stopped talking about selfies for about 72 hours. The streets of L.A. are now full of discarded The Weinstein Company interns, who haven't seen daylight for months and are only capable of saying the words "Everything you are and everything you have is 'cos of that butler." Yep, the 2013/2014 awards season has come to an end.

And that generally means one thing: the 2014/2015 awards season is getting underway. Like it or not, campaigns are being planned for the months to come, and distributors are ready to start the whole damn thing again. We'll be doing our best to ignore it for as long as possible, but to put a cap on our awards coverage until the end of the summer, and as we've done the last few years, we're going to pick out some of the films that look likely to dominate proceedings over the next 51 weeks.

Our track record isn't too bad—if you exclude "Foxcatcher" and "Monuments Men," whose release dates were delayed into this year, we called five of the nine Best Picture nominees correctly last February, and all five of the best Director nominees, which isn't too shabby. Will we have the same luck this time? You can take a look at our Top 10 Best Picture picks and 5 That Could Surprise below, in rough order of likelihood, and stay tuned for our look at the acting categories next week. As ever, have your own say in the comments section below.

Our Top 10 Picks

"Unbroken"
A little under ten months from release, this true-life tale already looks like a potential heavyweight (even a frontrunner) on paper, and Universal has already started selling it as such, debuting the first-look at footage, which lays out the story, during the Winter Olympics. So why is this one already high on the list? For one, the film is directed by Oscar darling Angelina Jolie—two awards, including her humanitarian prize this year—it's written by a team equally familiar with the Academy Awards stage (Richard LaGravenese, nominated for "The Fisher King"; William Nicholson, nominated for "Shadowlands" and "Gladiator"; and the Coen brothers, who have four Oscars and fourteen nominations between them), and it's based on the book by Laura Hillenbrand, who also provided the source material for Best Picture nominee "Seabiscuit." For another, it tells the true story of Olympian Louis Zamperini, an athlete who fought in World War II and survived a plane crash and 47 days at sea before being held for three years in a POW camp. So, yeah, it has Oscar written all over it. (and it's shot by Roger Deakins too.) It might be lacking in traditional star power, as it has relative newcomer Jack O'Connell in the lead, with Domhnall Gleeson, Garret Hedlund and Jai Courtney among the supporting cast. And while Jolie's first film "In The Land Of Blood And Honey" failed to get much traction, that film was tougher (and in a foreign language), whereas this seems tailor-made for awards success as long as it's halfway decent.

"Interstellar"
Christopher Nolan
has a spotty track record with the Oscars—several of his films have picked up major nominations and even wins, but only "Inception" managed a Best Picture slot, and the filmmaker himself has never picked up a Best Director nod. So most would agree that he's due for further recognition at this point, and there's a lot to suggest that "Interstellar" could be the one to provide it. From what we've seen in that brief teaser trailer, and from a flip-through of an early draft of a screenplay, it's less action-heavy and closer to something like "2001," "Close Encounters Of The Third Kind" or even "Gravity" in its blend of sci-fi and some heavy emotional work. It has an awards-friendly cast, too: recent winners Matthew McConaughey and Anne Hathaway are the leads, with Jessica Chastain, Michael Caine, Matt Damon, Casey Affleck and Ellen Burstyn among those supporting. It might be that its sci-fi origins prove a problem, but "Gravity" certainly helped to break down some of those barriers, and Nolan has managed to do pretty well with a movie about a man who dresses up as a giant flying rodent and a mind-bending sci-fi action film, so something more toned-down could be a potential juggernaut.

"Foxcatcher"
The most prominent rollover from last year (at least once it emerged that "Monuments Men" was, to put it as kindly as possible, not an awards contender), "Foxcatcher" was all set for a premiere at AFI Festival before hitting theaters in December, but was pulled relatively late in the game, allegedly because director Bennett Miller ("Capote," "Moneyball") needed more time to finish the picture. But if, as we suspect, it was more to get out of a crowded season, it was probably a smart move. The 2014 slate is looking less competitive, at least from a distance, and whereas it would have had to fight for a nomination last year, the film will be a safer bet this time around if it's even vaguely good. And there's every reason to think that it will be: Miller's first two films, both Best Picture nominees, were excellent, and early teasers for the project—about schizophrenic millionaire John DuPont (Steve Carell) and his relationship with Olympic wrestlers Mark and Dave Schultz (Channing Tatum and Mark Ruffalo)—were positively chilling. Plus it has the sole attentions of super-producer Megan Ellison, who has three Best Picture nominations in two years. It could be that the film, like "Monuments Men" was moved because it wasn't living up to expectations, but with rumors of a Cannes bow in the works, we're certainly still optimistic.

"A Most Violent Year"
Three years ago, it was a big surprise when first-time writer/director J.C. Chandor picked up an Oscar nod for the screenplay of "Margin Call." He didn't have as much luck with his well-received follow-up, "All Is Lost," which was the better film, picking up only a single nom. However, the filmmaker is clearly going to be a force to be reckoned with in years to come, and he could be back as soon as next year, because there's already a fair bit of buzz around his third picture. "A Most Violent Year" is a 1981-set crime tale involving an immigrant (Oscar Isaac) and his wife (Jessica Chastain) trying to create opportunities for their family during the most crime-ridden year in New York history. Chandor has assembled a superb cast alongside that central pair, with David Oyelowo, Albert Brooks, Alessandro Nivola, Catalina Sandino Moreno and Christopher Abbott all on-board. It sounds like it'll be dark and gritty, but the Academy's taste have embraced that sort of thing to some degree recently, and in a year without many edgy choices, this could be nicely placed to step into that sort of slot. Chandor's not quite far along to be considered "due," and distributor A24 are newcomers to the Oscar game, but they've already made clear that they'll be planning an awards run for the picture. And if it connects with audiences, it could well have a shot.

"The Search"
Anyone who says that they saw the awards success of "The Artist" coming a year in advance is a liar: even the filmmakers were probably a bit shocked it went as far as it did. So the follow-up from director Michel Hazanavicius, and star Bérénice Bejo, probably doesn't have the same element of surprise on its side. But it does feel like a more traditionally Oscar-friendly picture in many ways. Seemingly leaving behind Hazanavicius' comic background, it's a loose remake of Fred Zinnemann's 1948 weepie of the same name (which itself won two Oscars and was nominated for three others), set after WWII, following a young boy trying to reunite with his mother with the help of an aid worker. Hazanavicius has updated the film to the aftermath of the Chechen war (potentially topical, given recent events in Russia), with Bejo as the NGO-worker and Annette Bening in support. It's relatively common for foreign-language Best Picture nominees to be treated as novelties, and perhaps harder for the director's follow-ups to get much traction, so there's some reason to be skeptical. But "The Artist" was a massive success, and considering this one has been shooting under the radar, there is already a big curiosity factor around the movie. There’s no distributor yet, but let’s see who picks it up.

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54 Comments

  • Regular guy that loves movies | July 19, 2014 2:40 AMReply

    Top 4 No Order
    1. The Grand Budapest Hotel ( great movie kinda underrated)
    2.Boyhood
    3. Mr Turner
    4. Foxcatcher

    This just of what I have seen

  • BOO | May 16, 2014 9:25 PMReply

    Mr. Turner has become a lock

  • todd | April 22, 2014 12:50 PMReply

    The Reader is terrible?

  • Brett | March 25, 2014 12:02 PMReply

    Judging by the two trailers, I believe the new X Men movie is possible

  • AND | March 23, 2014 12:15 AMReply

    TOP 15 (No Order):
    - Inherent Vice
    - Interstellar
    - Unbroken
    - The Grand Budapest Hotel
    - Gone Girl
    - Foxcatcher
    - The Imitation Game
    - Fury
    - Boyhood
    - Exodus
    - Noah
    - A Most Wanted Man
    - A Most Violent Year
    - Big Eyes
    - Birdman

  • ben | March 16, 2014 4:59 PMReply

    weinsteins are arrogant

  • FDR | March 13, 2014 9:49 PMReply

    No love for Chef?? I think Jon Favreau managed to make a pretty great film

  • Brett | March 20, 2014 4:52 PM

    When it comes to comedies they're only fitting for Screenplay nods like The Producers and Bridesmaids

  • Brett | March 11, 2014 5:35 PMReply

    I wish the Academy expanded the acting, writing, and directing categories like they did for Best Picture

  • Brett | March 11, 2014 5:34 PMReply

    For some reason, MTV is talking about Guardians of the Galaxy as one of the possible contenders...why? Yeah it looks like something Marvel hasn't done but it doesn't look Oscar worthy, if any superhero movie this year should be nominated it's X-Men Days of Future Past, that looks like the Dark Knight of Marvel movies

  • Ben | March 13, 2014 7:12 AM

    LOL! They are clearly joking!!! That list got less and less serious down the line. That's the joke. Geez.

  • That's Why | March 11, 2014 5:44 PM

    Cause they are clueless dummies.

  • Max | March 10, 2014 10:43 PMReply

    My Early Predictions:

    Exodus
    Foxcatcher
    Fury
    Gone Girl
    Inherent Vice
    Interstellar
    Into the Woods
    Kill the Messenger
    A Most Violent Year
    Unbroken

  • Bielsa Widow | March 10, 2014 6:15 PMReply

    Don't know if it'll be ready in time but Pablo Larrain's Neruda biopic would seem to have the right mix of topic and pedigree to crossover.

  • GASTINKS | March 9, 2014 6:31 PMReply

    I'll be the first to put it out there

    there are 2 movies on Yves Saint Laurent;one produced by Harvey W and the other one by Luc Besson.The one produced by Harvey is directed by actor turned producer Jalil Lespert and stars Cesar winners Pierre Niney (YSL) and Guillaume Gallienne as Saint Laurent's partner Pierre Berge
    On the other hand the other YSL movie is directed by 2011 Cannes Film Festival winner Bertrand Bonello;script writer is Golden globe,BAFTA,SAG nominee and Cannes winner Thomas Bidegain for Rust and Bone (Marion Cotillard) and A Prophet(Jacques Audiard) and stars Cannes Film Festival Palme D'Or winner for Blue Is The Warmest Color Léa Seydoux as Saint Laurent's best friend and jewelry designer Loulou de la Falaise, Cesar winners Gaspard Ulliel as YSL ,louis Garrel as YSL boyfriend Jacques de Bascher and Jeremie Renier as Pierre Berge.Possible role for Catherine Deneuve as herself,possibly Willem Dafoe as Andy Warhol;it also includes Amira Casar as Anne-Marie Munoz,Jasmine Trinca as Talitah Getty.

    These 2 movies in France have been THE topic since last year news came out of 2 movies on Yves Saint Laurent and when Berge threatened to sue Bonello from making his version because he didn't ask Berge for approval.Remember Saint Laurent died in 2008.Berge gave Lespert his approval for this version.

    Lespert's Yves Saint Laurent came out in France this January to good reviews especially for Niney and Gallienne but the French movie business,critics and foreign critics are all waiting for Bonello's and I saw Lespert's movie 2 weeks ago and it was nice,superb acting by the leading men but the rest of the cast was weak and the movie itself lacked and was it was obvious that Pierre Berge was all over this movie.Sad for the actors


    so my $ is on Pierre Niney (Lead Actor),Guillaume Gallienne (Best Supporting Actor) and Gapard Ulliel(Lead Actor) getting Oscar nominations and Léa Seydoux (Lead or Best Supporting Actress) as well in 2015

  • buddy | March 9, 2014 5:30 PMReply

    What's with the morbid fascination with the Oscars? After putting us thru months of speculation and rumours and then a week of obnoxiously detailed coverage and analysis, you're already starting up with next year? I thought this site was called 'Indiewire'? Instead of celebrating independent films because they're good and worthwhile- full stop-, you're perpetuating the toxic myth that the be-all and end-all for all films is the elusive recognition by some paid-off dinosaurs and a night of empty pageantry.

  • Bradley | March 9, 2014 5:29 AMReply

    What about Stephen Frears' Lance Armstrong film? Great cast/writer/crew and y'know, Philomena didn't direct itself, despite what all these awards bodies might say.

    You'd almost think actors and crew just turn up and make a film without anyone guiding the ship.

  • jervaise brooke hamster | March 8, 2014 9:02 PMReply

    The Oscars are a ludicrously out-moded and embarrassing joke, do you really think anyone gives a hoot-in-hell anymore about who wins those laughable and pathetic little statuettes, the entire ceremony is a tiresome and unwatchable fiasco that should`ve been flushed down the toilet years ago ! ! !.

  • Chris | March 7, 2014 11:05 PMReply

    I wanna say Magic in the Moonlight is going to be nominated for something.

  • Brett | March 11, 2014 5:35 PM

    Writing and Emma Stone, those are my two guesses

  • BRIAN | March 7, 2014 8:35 PMReply

    How about Scott Frank's "A Walk Among the Tombstones" starring Liam Neeson and Dan Stevens?

  • 1974 | March 7, 2014 2:28 PMReply

    C'mon Playlist, we want more premature oscar predictions- acting categories!

  • ThePlaylist | March 7, 2014 2:33 PM

    They are coming. Keep your pants on. :)

  • Greg | March 7, 2014 1:59 PMReply

    Why wouldn't There and back again be a shoe in? With the 3rd LOTR move winning. I though the 3rd hobbit would win hands down?

  • Brett | March 7, 2014 2:47 PM

    I see this Hobbit as a possiblility I agree, but the Hobbit movies doesn't capture the same imagination as the original LOTR trilogy, I wouldn't count on this Hobbit winning

  • Terry | March 7, 2014 12:02 PMReply

    What do people think about THE HUNDRED FOOT JOURNEY? Steven Spielberg and Oprah are producing, Helen Mirren starring, screenplay by Stephen Knight. Feels like an Academy friendly story but flying a bit under the radar.

  • Tyler | March 7, 2014 12:44 AMReply

    I came out of sundance this year seeing a great amount of solid Oscar-worthy films. Boyhood was already mentioned but WHIPLASH, THE DOUBLE, THE SKELETON TWINS, KUMMIKO THE TREASURE HUNTER, and INFINITLY POLAR BEAR were all phenomenal narrative films that caught my attention (I'll be VERY surprised if Ruffalo doesn't at least pick up an ISA nomination for Polar Bear).

  • Brett | March 6, 2014 12:52 PMReply

    Best Picture:
    Gone Girl
    X-Men Days of Future Past
    The Cobbler
    Interstellar
    Noah
    Exodus
    Jersey Boys
    Boyhood
    Rob the Mob
    Inherent Vice
    The Hundred-Foot Journey
    If I Stay
    Get on Up
    Birdman
    Draft Day
    McFarland
    Million Dollar Arm
    Hobbit 3
    Child 44
    Into the Woods
    Annie
    Paddington
    Big Eyes
    The Giver
    The Search
    A Most Violent Year
    A Most Wanted Man
    Unbroken
    Foxcatcher
    Fury
    True Story
    Knight of Cups
    Imagine
    Far From the Madding Crowd
    The Fault in our Stars
    Love is Strange
    The Judge
    Grace of Monaco
    Veronica Mars
    The Immigrant
    Serena
    The Good Lie
    Wild
    The Drop
    When the Game Stands Tall
    Trash
    Transcendence

    Best Actor:
    Adam Sandler (The Cobbler/Men Women and Children)
    Matthew McConaughey (Interstellar)
    Christian Bale (Exodus)
    Steve Carrell (Foxcatcher)
    Joaquin Phoenix (Inherent Vice)
    Russell Crowe (Noah)
    Arnold Schwarzenegger (Maggie)
    Michael Keaton (Birdman)
    Tom Hardy (The Drop/Child 44)
    Tobey Maguire (Pawn Sacrifice)
    Michael Pitt (Rob the Mob)
    Jack O'Connell (Unbroken)
    John Lloyd Young (Jersey Boys)
    Chadewick Boseman (Get on Up)
    Ben Affleck (Gone Girl)
    Colin Firth (The Railway Man)
    Jeff Bridges (The Giver)
    Kevin Costner (Draft Day/McFarland)
    Jon Hamm (Million Dollar Arm)
    Brad Pitt (Fury)
    Phillip Seymour Hoffman (A Most Wanted Man)
    Al Pacino (Imagine)
    Alfred Molina (Love is Strange)
    Robert Downey Jr (The Judge)
    Ethan Hawke (Boyhood)
    Bradley Cooper (Serena)
    Jim Caviezel (When the Game Stands Tall)
    Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game)
    Johnny Depp (Transcendence)

    Best Actress:
    Meryl Streep (Into the Woods)
    Jennifer Lawrence (Serena)
    Amy Adams (Big Eyes)
    Chloe Grace Moretz (If I Stay)
    Quvenzhanai Wallis (Annie)
    Angelina Jolie (Maleficent)
    Reese Witherspoon (Wild/The Good Lie)
    Rooney Mara (Trash)
    Natalie Portman (Jane Got a Gun)
    Melissa McCarthy (Tammy)
    Helen Mirren (The Hundred Foot Journey)
    Nicole Kidman (Grace of Monaco)
    Kristen Bell (Veronica Mars)
    Halle Berry (Frankie and Alice
    Shailene Woodley (The Fault in our Stars)
    Rachel McCadams (A Most Wanted Man)
    Emma Stone (Magic in the Moonlight)
    Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year)
    Mila Kunis (Jupiter Ascending)
    Berenice Bejo (The Search)
    Marrion Cottiliard (The Immigrant)

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Christopher Walken (Jersey Boys)
    Gary Oldman (Child 44)
    Andy Serkis (Dawn of the Planet of the Apes)
    Joel Edgerton (Exodus)
    Owen Wilson (Inherent Vice)
    Neil Patrick Harris (Gone Girl)
    Shia Labeouf (Fury)
    Aaron Paul (Exodus)
    Garrett Hedlund (Unbroken)
    Johnny Depp (Into the Woods)
    Christoph Waltz (Big Eyes)
    Willem Dafoe (A Most Wanted Man)
    John Lithgow (Love is Strange)
    Nat Wolff (The Fault in our Stars)
    Ray Romano (Rob the Mob)
    Alan Arkin (Million Dollar Arm)
    Frank Langella (Draft Day/Grace of Monaco)
    Josh Brolin (Inherent Vice)
    Channing Tatum (Foxcatcher)
    Mark Ruffallo (Foxcatcher)
    Michael Sheen (Far From the Madding Crowd)
    Dustin Hoffman (Imagine)
    Martin Sheen (Trash)
    Robert Duvall (The Judge)
    Jamie Foxx (Annie)
    Joaquin Phoenix (The Immigrant

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Anna Kendrick (Into the Woods)
    Jennifer Garner (Draft Day)
    Laura Dern (When the Game Stands Tall)
    Viola Davis (Get on Up)
    Noomi Rapace (The Drop/Child 44)
    Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl)
    Vera Farmiga (The Judge)
    Melissa Leo (The Judge)
    Maria Bello (McFarland)
    Sigourney Weaver (Exodus)
    Cameron Diaz (Annie)
    Emma Watson (Noah)

    Best Director:
    Michel Hazanaviscious (The Search)
    Clint Eastwood (Jersey Boys)
    Christopher Nolan (Interstellar)
    David Fincher (Gone Girl)
    Ridley Scott (Exodus)
    Darren Aronofsky (Noah)
    Bryan Singer (X-Men Days of Future Past)
    Peter Jackson (Hobbit 3)
    J.C. Chandor (A Most Violent Year)
    Stephen Daldry (Trash)
    Paul Thomas Anderson (Inherent Vice)
    James Grey (The Immigrant)
    Angelina Jolie (Unbroken)
    Tim Burton (Big Eyes)
    Bennett Miller (Foxcatcher)
    Terrence Mallick (Knight of Cups)
    Rob Marshall (Into the Woods)
    Will Gluck (Annie)
    David Ayer (Fury)
    David Dobkin (The Judge)

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Magic in the Moonlight
    The Judge
    The Grand Budapest Hotel
    Interstellar
    The Cobbler
    Knight of Cups
    Fury
    The Good Lie
    Draft Day
    Tammy
    Men, Women, and Children
    Birdman
    St. Vincent De Van Nuys
    The Search


    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Unbroken
    Paddington
    Hobbit 3
    X-Men Days of Future Past
    Get on Up
    Jersey Boys
    Gone Girl
    Into the Woods
    Annie
    Million Dollar Arm
    Noah
    Exodus
    McFarland
    The Giver
    The Hundred Foot Journey
    Foxcatcher
    Big Eyes
    A Most Violent Year

    Best Animated Feature:
    The Lego Movie
    Home
    Mr. Peabody and Sherman
    How to Train your Dragon 2
    The Legend of Oz: Dorothy's Return
    The Boxtrolls
    Big Hero 6
    more obscure animated movies

  • Paolo | March 6, 2014 12:06 PMReply

    Aronofsky's 'Noah'?

  • Brett | March 6, 2014 11:41 AMReply

    What about Maggie starring Arnie? Yeah it doesn't sound Best Picture worthy, but it's different from Arnold's other movies, it could get him a Best Actor nomination

  • Parker | March 6, 2014 10:02 AMReply

    Oh, two upcoming Witherspoon movies are on the list - where is Poya?:D

    Go, Reese, both IV and Wild look like unique projects.

    I hope she will get an other nomination, but that's true - amazing performances from actresses here or there - Adams absolutely deserves an Oscar award.

  • Leonardo | March 5, 2014 11:51 PMReply

    Maybe i'm just burn out because the awards were just 4 days ago, but i can't think of any other "left-field" choices for this, maybe "Locke", "Enemy", "The Voices", and "The Double" but only for Acting and some Technical categories.

  • Andre | March 5, 2014 6:18 PMReply

    I have a strong feeling that Cumberbatch and Amy Adams gonna win as best actor and actress next year

  • cirkusfolk | March 5, 2014 5:50 PMReply

    I may have missed it but did u guys mention Cameron Crowe's untitled film? It had a December 25th release date and stars the two time in a row nominee, Bradley Cooper. I know his last film, We Bought a Zoo, had the same Christmas release but got ignored (unjustly IMO). Still I think he can score another Jerry Maguire type hit.

  • lee | March 5, 2014 4:53 PMReply

    Is it such a good thing that the Oscars have become so predictable you can guess the nominations in February? I'm hoping the studios wise up and realise that there's money to be had releasing quality movies throughout the year; The Godfather was released in March, Annie Hall April, Chinatown January, Silence of the Lambs in February.

  • Vince | March 5, 2014 4:49 PMReply

    WHIPLASH?

    JK Simmons for best supporting actor?

  • dan | March 5, 2014 3:57 PMReply

    Can see interstellar, A Most Violent Year, Foxcatcher and Big Eyes being big players. And i hope they will be, Steve Carell in Foxcatcher is going to be very interesting to see. J C Chandor is on a roll and I hope AMVY is going to be great, maybe some nods for Jessica Chastain and Oscar Isaac. interstellar might be the one this year, I'm just a bit more sceptical about Nolan's films than most people (Memento is still my favourite). Big Eyes i think will get Amy Adams an Oscar, I hate the notion that someone is "owed" an Oscar but it will really be her time if she's nominated and she'll deserve it.

    i can't see inherent vice challenging, except maybe acting nominations because that's the only part of The Master that the Academy had to admit was incredible. Vice is just going to be too weird for the Oscars.

    I'd also love Jeff Nichol's Midnight Special (if that comes out in 2014) to get attention, but Nichols seems to go under the radar all the time, despite having made the incredible Take Shelter and Mud.

    Also maybe Boyhood has a good chance this year? I think Richard Linklater is owed some love.

  • That Kid | March 5, 2014 3:17 PMReply

    Gosh, I totally forgot about "Carol" but that's probably the safest bet in acting nominations. "Foxcatcher" is my early favorite thanks to Bennett Miller.

  • Marko | March 5, 2014 3:01 PMReply

    Remember last year when you guys thought Man of Steel could be a contender?

  • CB | March 5, 2014 3:11 PM

    Yikes..

  • JCS | March 5, 2014 2:53 PMReply

    Also Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby has probably good chances for few noms

  • gerard kennelly | March 5, 2014 3:28 PM

    BEST ACTOR

    ben affleck GONE GIRL
    arnold schwarzenegger SABOTAGE
    nicholas cage JOE
    christoph walz THE ZERO THEOREM
    jason clarke EVEREST
    russell crowe THE WATER DIVINER
    guy pearce THE ROVER
    jake gyllenhaal ENEMY
    gérard depardieu WELCOME TO NEW YORK
    ben foster ARMSTRONG
    benicio deltoro PARADISE LOST
    al pacino MANGLEHORN
    ryan reynolds THE CAPTIVE
    jack reynor GLASSLAND
    tom hardy LOCKE
    christian bale KNIGHT OF CUPS
    michael keaton BIRDMAN
    Jack O'Connell STARRED UP
    steve carell FOXCATCHER
    chadwick boseman GET ON UP
    clive owen BLOOD TIES
    michael fassbender MACBETH
    johnny depp TRANSCENDENCE
    brad pitt FURY
    ralph fiennes GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
    brendan gleeson CALVARY
    william hurt JENRAGE DE SON ABSENCE
    michael pena CHAVEZ
    jerremy renner KILL THE MESSENGER
    colin farrell MISS JULIE
    robert downey jr THE JUDGE
    colin firth MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    russell crowe NOAH
    matthew mcconaughey INTERSTELLAR
    billy crudup BLOOD TIES
    michael douglas REYKJAVIK
    joaquin phoenix INHERENT VICE
    philip seymour hoffman A MOST WANTED MAN

    BEST SUPP ACTOR

    domhnall gleeson UNBROKEN
    robert duvall THE JUDGE
    val kilmer UNTITLED TERRENCE MALICK PROJECT
    shia labeouf FURY
    casey affleck INTERSTELLAR
    jai courtney THE WATER DIVINER
    ben Mendelsohn STARRED UP
    Jason Clarke THE BETTER ANGELS
    robert pattinson THE ROVER
    michael smiley GLASSLAND
    edward norton BIRDMAN
    christopher walken JERSEY BOYS
    sam worthington SABOTAGE
    gary oldman CHILD 44
    channing tatum FOXCATCHER
    scott speedman THE CAPTIVE
    josh brolin INHERENT VICE
    ray liotta KILL THE MESSENGER
    chris o'dowd CALVARY
    matthias schoenaerts BLOOD TIES
    christoph waltz REYKJAVIK
    willem dafoe A MOST WANTED MAN
    cillian murphy ALOFT
    anthony hopkins NOAH
    robert patrick KILL THE MESSENGER
    james caan BLOOD TIES

    BEST SUPP ACTRESS

    emma stone MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    nina hoss A MOST WANTED MAN
    jacqueline bisset WELCOME TO NEW YORK
    diane kruger THE BETTER ANGELS
    jena Malone INHERENT VICE
    olga kurylenko THE WATER DIVINER
    toni collette GLASSLAND
    noomi rapace CHILD 44
    saoirse ronan GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
    rosamund pike GONE GIRL
    robin wright A MOST WANTED MAN
    anne hathaway INTERSTELLAR
    juliette binoche CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA
    imogen poots KNIGHT OF CUPS
    kelly reilly CALVARY
    christina hendricks GODS POCKET
    jackie weaver MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    meryl streep INTO THE WOODS
    oona chaplin ALOFT
    jennifer connoly NOAH
    eva marie saint WINTERS TALE
    marion cotillard BLOOD TIES

    BEST ACTRESS

    marion cotillard TWO DAYS ONE NIGHT
    chloe grace moretz CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA
    mireille enos SABOTAGE
    kirsten dunst TWO FACES OF JANUARY
    melanie laurent ENEMY
    berenice bejo THE SEARCH
    rooney mara UNTITLED TERRENCE MALICK PROJECT
    mary elizabeth winstead KILL THE MESSENGER
    rachel mcadams A MOST WANTED MAN
    marion cotillard MACBETH
    zoe saldana BLOOD TIES
    jessica chastain MISS JULIE
    reese witherspoon WILD
    jessica chastain INTERSTELLAR
    natalie portman KNIGHT OF CUPS
    kristen stewart CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA

    and best foreign film might be..

    Black Coal, Thin Ice

    After a botched arrest in a grisly serial-murder case,
    small-town detective Zhang Zili is suspended from the force,
    taking a job as a security guard at a coal factory.
    When another series of mysteriously similar murders takes place
    five years later, Zhang sets out to investigate on his own.
    Winner of the top prize at this year's Berlin Film Festival
    a moody, quietly powerful thriller
    a classic film noir staged against a wintry Northern Chinese industrial town. In Mandarin with subtitles.

  • L | March 5, 2014 3:17 PM

    Absolutely. I would be surprised to see that left out. And then there is DG Green's Joe...

  • Josh | March 5, 2014 2:28 PMReply

    Trash isn't an awards play. It's much more of a genre film and it is opening early in the year.

  • benutty | March 5, 2014 2:27 PMReply

    The Homesman is going to destroy.

  • C | March 5, 2014 2:10 PMReply

    It's Adele Dazeem. With a D. Do you all ever fact check anything?

  • NewYorker | March 5, 2014 2:01 PMReply

    awesome list. my early best picture predictions are
    Big Eyes(oscars love the weinsteins)
    Foxcatcher
    Gone Girl
    Inherent Vice
    Intersteller
    Into The Woods
    Men, Women, Children(maybe it will makeup for Young Adult & Labor Day for getting snub)
    Wild(just because dallas buyer's club & 127 hours were nominated for best picture)
    Unbroken

  • lookfar | March 5, 2014 1:56 PMReply

    What about the immigrant?

  • ek | March 5, 2014 1:39 PMReply

    no...ye called four of the best pictures

  • Meh. | March 5, 2014 1:38 PMReply

    The Rover? David Michôd's Animal Kingdom was pretty much a masterpiece and from the looks of it, a reinvented Pattinson and the ever brilliant Guy Pearce are likely to make for a pretty terrific ride.

  • gerard kennelly | March 5, 2014 3:29 PM

    BEST ACTOR

    ben affleck GONE GIRL
    arnold schwarzenegger SABOTAGE
    nicholas cage JOE
    christoph walz THE ZERO THEOREM
    jason clarke EVEREST
    russell crowe THE WATER DIVINER
    guy pearce THE ROVER ...........................................................
    jake gyllenhaal ENEMY
    gérard depardieu WELCOME TO NEW YORK
    ben foster ARMSTRONG
    benicio deltoro PARADISE LOST
    al pacino MANGLEHORN
    ryan reynolds THE CAPTIVE
    jack reynor GLASSLAND
    tom hardy LOCKE
    christian bale KNIGHT OF CUPS
    michael keaton BIRDMAN
    Jack O'Connell STARRED UP
    steve carell FOXCATCHER
    chadwick boseman GET ON UP
    clive owen BLOOD TIES
    michael fassbender MACBETH
    johnny depp TRANSCENDENCE
    brad pitt FURY
    ralph fiennes GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
    brendan gleeson CALVARY
    william hurt JENRAGE DE SON ABSENCE
    michael pena CHAVEZ
    jerremy renner KILL THE MESSENGER
    colin farrell MISS JULIE
    robert downey jr THE JUDGE
    colin firth MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    russell crowe NOAH
    matthew mcconaughey INTERSTELLAR
    billy crudup BLOOD TIES
    michael douglas REYKJAVIK
    joaquin phoenix INHERENT VICE
    philip seymour hoffman A MOST WANTED MAN

    BEST SUPP ACTOR

    domhnall gleeson UNBROKEN
    robert duvall THE JUDGE
    val kilmer UNTITLED TERRENCE MALICK PROJECT
    shia labeouf FURY
    casey affleck INTERSTELLAR
    jai courtney THE WATER DIVINER
    ben Mendelsohn STARRED UP
    Jason Clarke THE BETTER ANGELS
    robert pattinson THE ROVER ....................................................
    michael smiley GLASSLAND
    edward norton BIRDMAN
    christopher walken JERSEY BOYS
    sam worthington SABOTAGE
    gary oldman CHILD 44
    channing tatum FOXCATCHER
    scott speedman THE CAPTIVE
    josh brolin INHERENT VICE
    ray liotta KILL THE MESSENGER
    chris o'dowd CALVARY
    matthias schoenaerts BLOOD TIES
    christoph waltz REYKJAVIK
    willem dafoe A MOST WANTED MAN
    cillian murphy ALOFT
    anthony hopkins NOAH
    robert patrick KILL THE MESSENGER
    james caan BLOOD TIES

    BEST SUPP ACTRESS

    emma stone MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    nina hoss A MOST WANTED MAN
    jacqueline bisset WELCOME TO NEW YORK
    diane kruger THE BETTER ANGELS
    jena Malone INHERENT VICE
    olga kurylenko THE WATER DIVINER
    toni collette GLASSLAND
    noomi rapace CHILD 44
    saoirse ronan GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
    rosamund pike GONE GIRL
    robin wright A MOST WANTED MAN
    anne hathaway INTERSTELLAR
    juliette binoche CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA
    imogen poots KNIGHT OF CUPS
    kelly reilly CALVARY
    christina hendricks GODS POCKET
    jackie weaver MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    meryl streep INTO THE WOODS
    oona chaplin ALOFT
    jennifer connoly NOAH
    eva marie saint WINTERS TALE
    marion cotillard BLOOD TIES

    BEST ACTRESS

    marion cotillard TWO DAYS ONE NIGHT
    chloe grace moretz CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA
    mireille enos SABOTAGE
    kirsten dunst TWO FACES OF JANUARY
    melanie laurent ENEMY
    berenice bejo THE SEARCH
    rooney mara UNTITLED TERRENCE MALICK PROJECT
    mary elizabeth winstead KILL THE MESSENGER
    rachel mcadams A MOST WANTED MAN
    marion cotillard MACBETH
    zoe saldana BLOOD TIES
    jessica chastain MISS JULIE
    reese witherspoon WILD
    jessica chastain INTERSTELLAR
    natalie portman KNIGHT OF CUPS
    kristen stewart CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA

  • shark | March 5, 2014 1:37 PMReply

    I'm not sure why you've sort of discounted Fury. All indications are that the studio wants it to be an Oscar play, and I've heard the script is quite good.

  • AClown | March 5, 2014 1:22 PMReply

    "Guessing about next year's award ceremonies without seeing the films: Because Hollywood awards really are that shallow!"

  • Uggghhh | March 21, 2014 4:11 AM

    So true.....Especially with movies like Unbroken where theres an Agenda to push for Jolie to be seen as a 'Director' by surrounding her with real talent who are really making the movie.....

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