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Premature Oscar Predictions: The 2015 Best Picture Contenders

Features
by Oliver Lyttelton
March 5, 2014 1:19 PM
54 Comments
  • |
Paul Thomas Anderson, Joaquin Phoenix

"Inherent Vice"
We're of two minds about the Oscar prospects of Paul Thomas Anderson's latest. On one side, PTA broke through to the Academy establishment with "There Will Be Blood," and though "The Master" missed out on a Best Picture nod in a competitive year (it was likely in the tenth or eleventh slot), it did pick up three acting nominations. His latest, an adaptation of Thomas Pynchon's novel, should, in theory, have more mainstream appeal given that it's a sort of period comic noir picture, and it's also the director's first true-blue studio picture, with backing from Warner Bros. (who led the pack this year with "Gravity" and "Her"), and has already landed an awards-friendly December release date. Plus the cast is stacked with Oscar nominees and winners, with Joaquin Phoenix, Josh Brolin, Owen Wilson, Reese Witherspoon and Benicio Del Toro all figuring in. All that said, "The Master" saw him moving in a more experimental direction that could well continue, given that he's adapting Pynchon, and the stoner-noir feel, on paper at least, seems more like a blend of Altman's "The Long Goodbye" and "The Big Lebowski" more than something traditionally Academy-friendly ("There Will Be Blood" at least had echoes of John Ford and Stanley Kubrick in there). Still, with the Academy proving more auteur-friendly in recent years (with nods for "difficult" movies from Darren Aronofsky, Terrence Malick, Michael Haneke, Quentin Tarantino, Martin Scorsese and Spike Jonze, among others), we're tentatively optimistic about its chances.

"Gone Girl"
With "The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button" and "The Social Network" picking up braces of nominations without winning the big prizes, David Fincher certainly looks like he's due at this point, and his latest film, an adaptation of Gillian Flynn's "Gone Girl," could be the film to get him there. The book, a thriller about a missing woman and the husband who falls under suspicion after her disappearance, was a pop-culture phenomenon and promises to deliver the right combination of mainstream thrills and artistry to put it into consideration. Conquering hero Ben Affleck takes the lead role (Rosamund Pike co-stars), and the picture has the October release date that proved so successful for "Argo," "Gravity" and "12 Years A Slave" in recent years. That said, many of those things were true of Fincher's last picture, "The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo," and that ultimately failed to get a Best Picture nod, and there are problematic elements here. Anyone who's read the book will know that the central characters are difficult to love, and that's the sort of thing that has the serious potential of putting off Academy voters. Short of absolutely stellar reviews, this might have a bit of a fight on its hands getting into the final line-up, though Fincher’s track record ensures it’ll be at least in the conversation.

"The Imitation Game"

"The Imitation Game"
A year in advance, "The Fifth Estate" looked like it could be a serious Oscar contender, featuring topical subject matter, an award-winning director, and a star fast on the rise. The film barely registered, and was one of the biggest financial disasters of 2013, but there are more than a few reasons to think that this year's Benedict Cumberbatch vehicle, "The Imitation Game," might have better luck. Based on a Black List-winning script once linked to Leonardo DiCaprio, it tells the potent story of Alan Turing, who helped to crack the Enigma code and invent the modern computer before being hounded by the British government for his homosexuality—it's the stuff that Oscar glory is often made of. Cumberbatch has the lead role, with Keira Knightley, Matthew Goode and Mark Strong among those in support, while "Headhunters" director Morten Tyldum, who should do a good job with the material, has the helm. And perhaps crucially, The Weinstein Company picked the project up a few months back for a hefty $7 million, suggesting that they'll be putting it at the center of their awards efforts. But will it be their "The King's Speech" or their "Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom" in 2014?

"Trash"
Few filmmakers have had as strong a track-record with the Academy as Stephen Daldry. The British theater legend has only made four films, but got Best Director nods for the first three, "Billy Elliot," "The Hours" and "The Reader," and Best Picture nods for the last three (with 2011's "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close"). So while his new film, penned by Oscar nominee Richard Curtis from a novel by Andy Mulligan, is under the radar right now, it certainly shouldn't be ignored. Not least because it has certain echoes of "Slumdog Millionaire" in its stories of three children in Rio De Janeiro who discover a mysterious object in the rubbish mounds of the city. There's a sprinkling of star power in the shape of co-stars Rooney Mara and Martin Sheen, while Working Title Films, who've had success with "Les Misérables" and "Atonement," among others, are backing the project, with Universal set to release. It may turn out that the film will be more like "Millions" than 'Slumdog,' and with Daldry's last couple of movies proving controversial in their nomination (due to them being extremely terrible) there's the potential for a backlash from prognosticators and voters. Plus it's biggest downside might be that Universal is already so hot and heavy about "Unbroken" that this one may not get due attention from the studio. But given Daldry's track record, you'd be unwise to bet against him.

"Wild"
Jean-Marc Vallée
might be one of the more under-appreciated directors in awards season. The French-Canadian helmer got three craft nominations for "The Young Victoria," despite little buzz around the project, and took "Dallas Buyers Club" to a Best Picture nomination and three Oscars, including two for his actors, though he wasn't really in the Best Director conversation. As such, we're certainly keeping an eye on his latest, "Wild." Based on the memoir by Cheryl Strayed (and adapted by "An Education" writer Nick Hornby), it stars comeback-courting Oscar-winner Reese Witherspoon as a woman who, after the death of her mother and break-up of her marriage, decides to trek her way along 1,000 miles of the Pacific Crest Trail. It promises the kind of mix of stunning landscapes and a powerful central performance that can be very awards-friendly, and after the success of 'Dallas,' there's every reason to keep an eye on Vallée's newest picture. "12 Years A Slave" distributor Fox Searchlight has the rights too, and it's probably their most promising prospect at this stage. And if it can step into the realm of films like "127 Hours" and "Into The Wild," it could pick up serious steam.

Five more movies that could surprise on the next page.....

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54 Comments

  • Regular guy that loves movies | July 19, 2014 2:40 AMReply

    Top 4 No Order
    1. The Grand Budapest Hotel ( great movie kinda underrated)
    2.Boyhood
    3. Mr Turner
    4. Foxcatcher

    This just of what I have seen

  • BOO | May 16, 2014 9:25 PMReply

    Mr. Turner has become a lock

  • todd | April 22, 2014 12:50 PMReply

    The Reader is terrible?

  • Brett | March 25, 2014 12:02 PMReply

    Judging by the two trailers, I believe the new X Men movie is possible

  • AND | March 23, 2014 12:15 AMReply

    TOP 15 (No Order):
    - Inherent Vice
    - Interstellar
    - Unbroken
    - The Grand Budapest Hotel
    - Gone Girl
    - Foxcatcher
    - The Imitation Game
    - Fury
    - Boyhood
    - Exodus
    - Noah
    - A Most Wanted Man
    - A Most Violent Year
    - Big Eyes
    - Birdman

  • ben | March 16, 2014 4:59 PMReply

    weinsteins are arrogant

  • FDR | March 13, 2014 9:49 PMReply

    No love for Chef?? I think Jon Favreau managed to make a pretty great film

  • Brett | March 20, 2014 4:52 PM

    When it comes to comedies they're only fitting for Screenplay nods like The Producers and Bridesmaids

  • Brett | March 11, 2014 5:35 PMReply

    I wish the Academy expanded the acting, writing, and directing categories like they did for Best Picture

  • Brett | March 11, 2014 5:34 PMReply

    For some reason, MTV is talking about Guardians of the Galaxy as one of the possible contenders...why? Yeah it looks like something Marvel hasn't done but it doesn't look Oscar worthy, if any superhero movie this year should be nominated it's X-Men Days of Future Past, that looks like the Dark Knight of Marvel movies

  • Ben | March 13, 2014 7:12 AM

    LOL! They are clearly joking!!! That list got less and less serious down the line. That's the joke. Geez.

  • That's Why | March 11, 2014 5:44 PM

    Cause they are clueless dummies.

  • Max | March 10, 2014 10:43 PMReply

    My Early Predictions:

    Exodus
    Foxcatcher
    Fury
    Gone Girl
    Inherent Vice
    Interstellar
    Into the Woods
    Kill the Messenger
    A Most Violent Year
    Unbroken

  • Bielsa Widow | March 10, 2014 6:15 PMReply

    Don't know if it'll be ready in time but Pablo Larrain's Neruda biopic would seem to have the right mix of topic and pedigree to crossover.

  • GASTINKS | March 9, 2014 6:31 PMReply

    I'll be the first to put it out there

    there are 2 movies on Yves Saint Laurent;one produced by Harvey W and the other one by Luc Besson.The one produced by Harvey is directed by actor turned producer Jalil Lespert and stars Cesar winners Pierre Niney (YSL) and Guillaume Gallienne as Saint Laurent's partner Pierre Berge
    On the other hand the other YSL movie is directed by 2011 Cannes Film Festival winner Bertrand Bonello;script writer is Golden globe,BAFTA,SAG nominee and Cannes winner Thomas Bidegain for Rust and Bone (Marion Cotillard) and A Prophet(Jacques Audiard) and stars Cannes Film Festival Palme D'Or winner for Blue Is The Warmest Color Léa Seydoux as Saint Laurent's best friend and jewelry designer Loulou de la Falaise, Cesar winners Gaspard Ulliel as YSL ,louis Garrel as YSL boyfriend Jacques de Bascher and Jeremie Renier as Pierre Berge.Possible role for Catherine Deneuve as herself,possibly Willem Dafoe as Andy Warhol;it also includes Amira Casar as Anne-Marie Munoz,Jasmine Trinca as Talitah Getty.

    These 2 movies in France have been THE topic since last year news came out of 2 movies on Yves Saint Laurent and when Berge threatened to sue Bonello from making his version because he didn't ask Berge for approval.Remember Saint Laurent died in 2008.Berge gave Lespert his approval for this version.

    Lespert's Yves Saint Laurent came out in France this January to good reviews especially for Niney and Gallienne but the French movie business,critics and foreign critics are all waiting for Bonello's and I saw Lespert's movie 2 weeks ago and it was nice,superb acting by the leading men but the rest of the cast was weak and the movie itself lacked and was it was obvious that Pierre Berge was all over this movie.Sad for the actors


    so my $ is on Pierre Niney (Lead Actor),Guillaume Gallienne (Best Supporting Actor) and Gapard Ulliel(Lead Actor) getting Oscar nominations and Léa Seydoux (Lead or Best Supporting Actress) as well in 2015

  • buddy | March 9, 2014 5:30 PMReply

    What's with the morbid fascination with the Oscars? After putting us thru months of speculation and rumours and then a week of obnoxiously detailed coverage and analysis, you're already starting up with next year? I thought this site was called 'Indiewire'? Instead of celebrating independent films because they're good and worthwhile- full stop-, you're perpetuating the toxic myth that the be-all and end-all for all films is the elusive recognition by some paid-off dinosaurs and a night of empty pageantry.

  • Bradley | March 9, 2014 5:29 AMReply

    What about Stephen Frears' Lance Armstrong film? Great cast/writer/crew and y'know, Philomena didn't direct itself, despite what all these awards bodies might say.

    You'd almost think actors and crew just turn up and make a film without anyone guiding the ship.

  • jervaise brooke hamster | March 8, 2014 9:02 PMReply

    The Oscars are a ludicrously out-moded and embarrassing joke, do you really think anyone gives a hoot-in-hell anymore about who wins those laughable and pathetic little statuettes, the entire ceremony is a tiresome and unwatchable fiasco that should`ve been flushed down the toilet years ago ! ! !.

  • Chris | March 7, 2014 11:05 PMReply

    I wanna say Magic in the Moonlight is going to be nominated for something.

  • Brett | March 11, 2014 5:35 PM

    Writing and Emma Stone, those are my two guesses

  • BRIAN | March 7, 2014 8:35 PMReply

    How about Scott Frank's "A Walk Among the Tombstones" starring Liam Neeson and Dan Stevens?

  • 1974 | March 7, 2014 2:28 PMReply

    C'mon Playlist, we want more premature oscar predictions- acting categories!

  • ThePlaylist | March 7, 2014 2:33 PM

    They are coming. Keep your pants on. :)

  • Greg | March 7, 2014 1:59 PMReply

    Why wouldn't There and back again be a shoe in? With the 3rd LOTR move winning. I though the 3rd hobbit would win hands down?

  • Brett | March 7, 2014 2:47 PM

    I see this Hobbit as a possiblility I agree, but the Hobbit movies doesn't capture the same imagination as the original LOTR trilogy, I wouldn't count on this Hobbit winning

  • Terry | March 7, 2014 12:02 PMReply

    What do people think about THE HUNDRED FOOT JOURNEY? Steven Spielberg and Oprah are producing, Helen Mirren starring, screenplay by Stephen Knight. Feels like an Academy friendly story but flying a bit under the radar.

  • Tyler | March 7, 2014 12:44 AMReply

    I came out of sundance this year seeing a great amount of solid Oscar-worthy films. Boyhood was already mentioned but WHIPLASH, THE DOUBLE, THE SKELETON TWINS, KUMMIKO THE TREASURE HUNTER, and INFINITLY POLAR BEAR were all phenomenal narrative films that caught my attention (I'll be VERY surprised if Ruffalo doesn't at least pick up an ISA nomination for Polar Bear).

  • Brett | March 6, 2014 12:52 PMReply

    Best Picture:
    Gone Girl
    X-Men Days of Future Past
    The Cobbler
    Interstellar
    Noah
    Exodus
    Jersey Boys
    Boyhood
    Rob the Mob
    Inherent Vice
    The Hundred-Foot Journey
    If I Stay
    Get on Up
    Birdman
    Draft Day
    McFarland
    Million Dollar Arm
    Hobbit 3
    Child 44
    Into the Woods
    Annie
    Paddington
    Big Eyes
    The Giver
    The Search
    A Most Violent Year
    A Most Wanted Man
    Unbroken
    Foxcatcher
    Fury
    True Story
    Knight of Cups
    Imagine
    Far From the Madding Crowd
    The Fault in our Stars
    Love is Strange
    The Judge
    Grace of Monaco
    Veronica Mars
    The Immigrant
    Serena
    The Good Lie
    Wild
    The Drop
    When the Game Stands Tall
    Trash
    Transcendence

    Best Actor:
    Adam Sandler (The Cobbler/Men Women and Children)
    Matthew McConaughey (Interstellar)
    Christian Bale (Exodus)
    Steve Carrell (Foxcatcher)
    Joaquin Phoenix (Inherent Vice)
    Russell Crowe (Noah)
    Arnold Schwarzenegger (Maggie)
    Michael Keaton (Birdman)
    Tom Hardy (The Drop/Child 44)
    Tobey Maguire (Pawn Sacrifice)
    Michael Pitt (Rob the Mob)
    Jack O'Connell (Unbroken)
    John Lloyd Young (Jersey Boys)
    Chadewick Boseman (Get on Up)
    Ben Affleck (Gone Girl)
    Colin Firth (The Railway Man)
    Jeff Bridges (The Giver)
    Kevin Costner (Draft Day/McFarland)
    Jon Hamm (Million Dollar Arm)
    Brad Pitt (Fury)
    Phillip Seymour Hoffman (A Most Wanted Man)
    Al Pacino (Imagine)
    Alfred Molina (Love is Strange)
    Robert Downey Jr (The Judge)
    Ethan Hawke (Boyhood)
    Bradley Cooper (Serena)
    Jim Caviezel (When the Game Stands Tall)
    Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game)
    Johnny Depp (Transcendence)

    Best Actress:
    Meryl Streep (Into the Woods)
    Jennifer Lawrence (Serena)
    Amy Adams (Big Eyes)
    Chloe Grace Moretz (If I Stay)
    Quvenzhanai Wallis (Annie)
    Angelina Jolie (Maleficent)
    Reese Witherspoon (Wild/The Good Lie)
    Rooney Mara (Trash)
    Natalie Portman (Jane Got a Gun)
    Melissa McCarthy (Tammy)
    Helen Mirren (The Hundred Foot Journey)
    Nicole Kidman (Grace of Monaco)
    Kristen Bell (Veronica Mars)
    Halle Berry (Frankie and Alice
    Shailene Woodley (The Fault in our Stars)
    Rachel McCadams (A Most Wanted Man)
    Emma Stone (Magic in the Moonlight)
    Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year)
    Mila Kunis (Jupiter Ascending)
    Berenice Bejo (The Search)
    Marrion Cottiliard (The Immigrant)

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Christopher Walken (Jersey Boys)
    Gary Oldman (Child 44)
    Andy Serkis (Dawn of the Planet of the Apes)
    Joel Edgerton (Exodus)
    Owen Wilson (Inherent Vice)
    Neil Patrick Harris (Gone Girl)
    Shia Labeouf (Fury)
    Aaron Paul (Exodus)
    Garrett Hedlund (Unbroken)
    Johnny Depp (Into the Woods)
    Christoph Waltz (Big Eyes)
    Willem Dafoe (A Most Wanted Man)
    John Lithgow (Love is Strange)
    Nat Wolff (The Fault in our Stars)
    Ray Romano (Rob the Mob)
    Alan Arkin (Million Dollar Arm)
    Frank Langella (Draft Day/Grace of Monaco)
    Josh Brolin (Inherent Vice)
    Channing Tatum (Foxcatcher)
    Mark Ruffallo (Foxcatcher)
    Michael Sheen (Far From the Madding Crowd)
    Dustin Hoffman (Imagine)
    Martin Sheen (Trash)
    Robert Duvall (The Judge)
    Jamie Foxx (Annie)
    Joaquin Phoenix (The Immigrant

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Anna Kendrick (Into the Woods)
    Jennifer Garner (Draft Day)
    Laura Dern (When the Game Stands Tall)
    Viola Davis (Get on Up)
    Noomi Rapace (The Drop/Child 44)
    Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl)
    Vera Farmiga (The Judge)
    Melissa Leo (The Judge)
    Maria Bello (McFarland)
    Sigourney Weaver (Exodus)
    Cameron Diaz (Annie)
    Emma Watson (Noah)

    Best Director:
    Michel Hazanaviscious (The Search)
    Clint Eastwood (Jersey Boys)
    Christopher Nolan (Interstellar)
    David Fincher (Gone Girl)
    Ridley Scott (Exodus)
    Darren Aronofsky (Noah)
    Bryan Singer (X-Men Days of Future Past)
    Peter Jackson (Hobbit 3)
    J.C. Chandor (A Most Violent Year)
    Stephen Daldry (Trash)
    Paul Thomas Anderson (Inherent Vice)
    James Grey (The Immigrant)
    Angelina Jolie (Unbroken)
    Tim Burton (Big Eyes)
    Bennett Miller (Foxcatcher)
    Terrence Mallick (Knight of Cups)
    Rob Marshall (Into the Woods)
    Will Gluck (Annie)
    David Ayer (Fury)
    David Dobkin (The Judge)

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Magic in the Moonlight
    The Judge
    The Grand Budapest Hotel
    Interstellar
    The Cobbler
    Knight of Cups
    Fury
    The Good Lie
    Draft Day
    Tammy
    Men, Women, and Children
    Birdman
    St. Vincent De Van Nuys
    The Search


    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Unbroken
    Paddington
    Hobbit 3
    X-Men Days of Future Past
    Get on Up
    Jersey Boys
    Gone Girl
    Into the Woods
    Annie
    Million Dollar Arm
    Noah
    Exodus
    McFarland
    The Giver
    The Hundred Foot Journey
    Foxcatcher
    Big Eyes
    A Most Violent Year

    Best Animated Feature:
    The Lego Movie
    Home
    Mr. Peabody and Sherman
    How to Train your Dragon 2
    The Legend of Oz: Dorothy's Return
    The Boxtrolls
    Big Hero 6
    more obscure animated movies

  • Paolo | March 6, 2014 12:06 PMReply

    Aronofsky's 'Noah'?

  • Brett | March 6, 2014 11:41 AMReply

    What about Maggie starring Arnie? Yeah it doesn't sound Best Picture worthy, but it's different from Arnold's other movies, it could get him a Best Actor nomination

  • Parker | March 6, 2014 10:02 AMReply

    Oh, two upcoming Witherspoon movies are on the list - where is Poya?:D

    Go, Reese, both IV and Wild look like unique projects.

    I hope she will get an other nomination, but that's true - amazing performances from actresses here or there - Adams absolutely deserves an Oscar award.

  • Leonardo | March 5, 2014 11:51 PMReply

    Maybe i'm just burn out because the awards were just 4 days ago, but i can't think of any other "left-field" choices for this, maybe "Locke", "Enemy", "The Voices", and "The Double" but only for Acting and some Technical categories.

  • Andre | March 5, 2014 6:18 PMReply

    I have a strong feeling that Cumberbatch and Amy Adams gonna win as best actor and actress next year

  • cirkusfolk | March 5, 2014 5:50 PMReply

    I may have missed it but did u guys mention Cameron Crowe's untitled film? It had a December 25th release date and stars the two time in a row nominee, Bradley Cooper. I know his last film, We Bought a Zoo, had the same Christmas release but got ignored (unjustly IMO). Still I think he can score another Jerry Maguire type hit.

  • lee | March 5, 2014 4:53 PMReply

    Is it such a good thing that the Oscars have become so predictable you can guess the nominations in February? I'm hoping the studios wise up and realise that there's money to be had releasing quality movies throughout the year; The Godfather was released in March, Annie Hall April, Chinatown January, Silence of the Lambs in February.

  • Vince | March 5, 2014 4:49 PMReply

    WHIPLASH?

    JK Simmons for best supporting actor?

  • dan | March 5, 2014 3:57 PMReply

    Can see interstellar, A Most Violent Year, Foxcatcher and Big Eyes being big players. And i hope they will be, Steve Carell in Foxcatcher is going to be very interesting to see. J C Chandor is on a roll and I hope AMVY is going to be great, maybe some nods for Jessica Chastain and Oscar Isaac. interstellar might be the one this year, I'm just a bit more sceptical about Nolan's films than most people (Memento is still my favourite). Big Eyes i think will get Amy Adams an Oscar, I hate the notion that someone is "owed" an Oscar but it will really be her time if she's nominated and she'll deserve it.

    i can't see inherent vice challenging, except maybe acting nominations because that's the only part of The Master that the Academy had to admit was incredible. Vice is just going to be too weird for the Oscars.

    I'd also love Jeff Nichol's Midnight Special (if that comes out in 2014) to get attention, but Nichols seems to go under the radar all the time, despite having made the incredible Take Shelter and Mud.

    Also maybe Boyhood has a good chance this year? I think Richard Linklater is owed some love.

  • That Kid | March 5, 2014 3:17 PMReply

    Gosh, I totally forgot about "Carol" but that's probably the safest bet in acting nominations. "Foxcatcher" is my early favorite thanks to Bennett Miller.

  • Marko | March 5, 2014 3:01 PMReply

    Remember last year when you guys thought Man of Steel could be a contender?

  • CB | March 5, 2014 3:11 PM

    Yikes..

  • JCS | March 5, 2014 2:53 PMReply

    Also Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby has probably good chances for few noms

  • gerard kennelly | March 5, 2014 3:28 PM

    BEST ACTOR

    ben affleck GONE GIRL
    arnold schwarzenegger SABOTAGE
    nicholas cage JOE
    christoph walz THE ZERO THEOREM
    jason clarke EVEREST
    russell crowe THE WATER DIVINER
    guy pearce THE ROVER
    jake gyllenhaal ENEMY
    gérard depardieu WELCOME TO NEW YORK
    ben foster ARMSTRONG
    benicio deltoro PARADISE LOST
    al pacino MANGLEHORN
    ryan reynolds THE CAPTIVE
    jack reynor GLASSLAND
    tom hardy LOCKE
    christian bale KNIGHT OF CUPS
    michael keaton BIRDMAN
    Jack O'Connell STARRED UP
    steve carell FOXCATCHER
    chadwick boseman GET ON UP
    clive owen BLOOD TIES
    michael fassbender MACBETH
    johnny depp TRANSCENDENCE
    brad pitt FURY
    ralph fiennes GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
    brendan gleeson CALVARY
    william hurt JENRAGE DE SON ABSENCE
    michael pena CHAVEZ
    jerremy renner KILL THE MESSENGER
    colin farrell MISS JULIE
    robert downey jr THE JUDGE
    colin firth MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    russell crowe NOAH
    matthew mcconaughey INTERSTELLAR
    billy crudup BLOOD TIES
    michael douglas REYKJAVIK
    joaquin phoenix INHERENT VICE
    philip seymour hoffman A MOST WANTED MAN

    BEST SUPP ACTOR

    domhnall gleeson UNBROKEN
    robert duvall THE JUDGE
    val kilmer UNTITLED TERRENCE MALICK PROJECT
    shia labeouf FURY
    casey affleck INTERSTELLAR
    jai courtney THE WATER DIVINER
    ben Mendelsohn STARRED UP
    Jason Clarke THE BETTER ANGELS
    robert pattinson THE ROVER
    michael smiley GLASSLAND
    edward norton BIRDMAN
    christopher walken JERSEY BOYS
    sam worthington SABOTAGE
    gary oldman CHILD 44
    channing tatum FOXCATCHER
    scott speedman THE CAPTIVE
    josh brolin INHERENT VICE
    ray liotta KILL THE MESSENGER
    chris o'dowd CALVARY
    matthias schoenaerts BLOOD TIES
    christoph waltz REYKJAVIK
    willem dafoe A MOST WANTED MAN
    cillian murphy ALOFT
    anthony hopkins NOAH
    robert patrick KILL THE MESSENGER
    james caan BLOOD TIES

    BEST SUPP ACTRESS

    emma stone MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    nina hoss A MOST WANTED MAN
    jacqueline bisset WELCOME TO NEW YORK
    diane kruger THE BETTER ANGELS
    jena Malone INHERENT VICE
    olga kurylenko THE WATER DIVINER
    toni collette GLASSLAND
    noomi rapace CHILD 44
    saoirse ronan GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
    rosamund pike GONE GIRL
    robin wright A MOST WANTED MAN
    anne hathaway INTERSTELLAR
    juliette binoche CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA
    imogen poots KNIGHT OF CUPS
    kelly reilly CALVARY
    christina hendricks GODS POCKET
    jackie weaver MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    meryl streep INTO THE WOODS
    oona chaplin ALOFT
    jennifer connoly NOAH
    eva marie saint WINTERS TALE
    marion cotillard BLOOD TIES

    BEST ACTRESS

    marion cotillard TWO DAYS ONE NIGHT
    chloe grace moretz CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA
    mireille enos SABOTAGE
    kirsten dunst TWO FACES OF JANUARY
    melanie laurent ENEMY
    berenice bejo THE SEARCH
    rooney mara UNTITLED TERRENCE MALICK PROJECT
    mary elizabeth winstead KILL THE MESSENGER
    rachel mcadams A MOST WANTED MAN
    marion cotillard MACBETH
    zoe saldana BLOOD TIES
    jessica chastain MISS JULIE
    reese witherspoon WILD
    jessica chastain INTERSTELLAR
    natalie portman KNIGHT OF CUPS
    kristen stewart CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA

    and best foreign film might be..

    Black Coal, Thin Ice

    After a botched arrest in a grisly serial-murder case,
    small-town detective Zhang Zili is suspended from the force,
    taking a job as a security guard at a coal factory.
    When another series of mysteriously similar murders takes place
    five years later, Zhang sets out to investigate on his own.
    Winner of the top prize at this year's Berlin Film Festival
    a moody, quietly powerful thriller
    a classic film noir staged against a wintry Northern Chinese industrial town. In Mandarin with subtitles.

  • L | March 5, 2014 3:17 PM

    Absolutely. I would be surprised to see that left out. And then there is DG Green's Joe...

  • Josh | March 5, 2014 2:28 PMReply

    Trash isn't an awards play. It's much more of a genre film and it is opening early in the year.

  • benutty | March 5, 2014 2:27 PMReply

    The Homesman is going to destroy.

  • C | March 5, 2014 2:10 PMReply

    It's Adele Dazeem. With a D. Do you all ever fact check anything?

  • NewYorker | March 5, 2014 2:01 PMReply

    awesome list. my early best picture predictions are
    Big Eyes(oscars love the weinsteins)
    Foxcatcher
    Gone Girl
    Inherent Vice
    Intersteller
    Into The Woods
    Men, Women, Children(maybe it will makeup for Young Adult & Labor Day for getting snub)
    Wild(just because dallas buyer's club & 127 hours were nominated for best picture)
    Unbroken

  • lookfar | March 5, 2014 1:56 PMReply

    What about the immigrant?

  • ek | March 5, 2014 1:39 PMReply

    no...ye called four of the best pictures

  • Meh. | March 5, 2014 1:38 PMReply

    The Rover? David Michôd's Animal Kingdom was pretty much a masterpiece and from the looks of it, a reinvented Pattinson and the ever brilliant Guy Pearce are likely to make for a pretty terrific ride.

  • gerard kennelly | March 5, 2014 3:29 PM

    BEST ACTOR

    ben affleck GONE GIRL
    arnold schwarzenegger SABOTAGE
    nicholas cage JOE
    christoph walz THE ZERO THEOREM
    jason clarke EVEREST
    russell crowe THE WATER DIVINER
    guy pearce THE ROVER ...........................................................
    jake gyllenhaal ENEMY
    gérard depardieu WELCOME TO NEW YORK
    ben foster ARMSTRONG
    benicio deltoro PARADISE LOST
    al pacino MANGLEHORN
    ryan reynolds THE CAPTIVE
    jack reynor GLASSLAND
    tom hardy LOCKE
    christian bale KNIGHT OF CUPS
    michael keaton BIRDMAN
    Jack O'Connell STARRED UP
    steve carell FOXCATCHER
    chadwick boseman GET ON UP
    clive owen BLOOD TIES
    michael fassbender MACBETH
    johnny depp TRANSCENDENCE
    brad pitt FURY
    ralph fiennes GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
    brendan gleeson CALVARY
    william hurt JENRAGE DE SON ABSENCE
    michael pena CHAVEZ
    jerremy renner KILL THE MESSENGER
    colin farrell MISS JULIE
    robert downey jr THE JUDGE
    colin firth MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    russell crowe NOAH
    matthew mcconaughey INTERSTELLAR
    billy crudup BLOOD TIES
    michael douglas REYKJAVIK
    joaquin phoenix INHERENT VICE
    philip seymour hoffman A MOST WANTED MAN

    BEST SUPP ACTOR

    domhnall gleeson UNBROKEN
    robert duvall THE JUDGE
    val kilmer UNTITLED TERRENCE MALICK PROJECT
    shia labeouf FURY
    casey affleck INTERSTELLAR
    jai courtney THE WATER DIVINER
    ben Mendelsohn STARRED UP
    Jason Clarke THE BETTER ANGELS
    robert pattinson THE ROVER ....................................................
    michael smiley GLASSLAND
    edward norton BIRDMAN
    christopher walken JERSEY BOYS
    sam worthington SABOTAGE
    gary oldman CHILD 44
    channing tatum FOXCATCHER
    scott speedman THE CAPTIVE
    josh brolin INHERENT VICE
    ray liotta KILL THE MESSENGER
    chris o'dowd CALVARY
    matthias schoenaerts BLOOD TIES
    christoph waltz REYKJAVIK
    willem dafoe A MOST WANTED MAN
    cillian murphy ALOFT
    anthony hopkins NOAH
    robert patrick KILL THE MESSENGER
    james caan BLOOD TIES

    BEST SUPP ACTRESS

    emma stone MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    nina hoss A MOST WANTED MAN
    jacqueline bisset WELCOME TO NEW YORK
    diane kruger THE BETTER ANGELS
    jena Malone INHERENT VICE
    olga kurylenko THE WATER DIVINER
    toni collette GLASSLAND
    noomi rapace CHILD 44
    saoirse ronan GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
    rosamund pike GONE GIRL
    robin wright A MOST WANTED MAN
    anne hathaway INTERSTELLAR
    juliette binoche CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA
    imogen poots KNIGHT OF CUPS
    kelly reilly CALVARY
    christina hendricks GODS POCKET
    jackie weaver MAGIC IN THE MOONLIGHT
    meryl streep INTO THE WOODS
    oona chaplin ALOFT
    jennifer connoly NOAH
    eva marie saint WINTERS TALE
    marion cotillard BLOOD TIES

    BEST ACTRESS

    marion cotillard TWO DAYS ONE NIGHT
    chloe grace moretz CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA
    mireille enos SABOTAGE
    kirsten dunst TWO FACES OF JANUARY
    melanie laurent ENEMY
    berenice bejo THE SEARCH
    rooney mara UNTITLED TERRENCE MALICK PROJECT
    mary elizabeth winstead KILL THE MESSENGER
    rachel mcadams A MOST WANTED MAN
    marion cotillard MACBETH
    zoe saldana BLOOD TIES
    jessica chastain MISS JULIE
    reese witherspoon WILD
    jessica chastain INTERSTELLAR
    natalie portman KNIGHT OF CUPS
    kristen stewart CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA

  • shark | March 5, 2014 1:37 PMReply

    I'm not sure why you've sort of discounted Fury. All indications are that the studio wants it to be an Oscar play, and I've heard the script is quite good.

  • AClown | March 5, 2014 1:22 PMReply

    "Guessing about next year's award ceremonies without seeing the films: Because Hollywood awards really are that shallow!"

  • Uggghhh | March 21, 2014 4:11 AM

    So true.....Especially with movies like Unbroken where theres an Agenda to push for Jolie to be seen as a 'Director' by surrounding her with real talent who are really making the movie.....

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