The Comedies

Julie Bowen Modern Family
Best Supporting Actress - Comedy
Betty White - "Hot In Cleveland"
Julie Bowen - "Modern Family"
Sofia Vergara - "Modern Family
Kristin Wiig - "Saturday Night Live"
Cheryl Hines - "Suburgatory"
Maya Rudolph - "Up All Night"
As ever, the supporting comedy categories should be dominated by "Modern Family," and it'll likely be either Bowen or Vergara for the win. We don't know anyone who's ever watched an episode of "Hot In Cleveland," but that won't stop Betty White getting in, and Kristen Wiig should repeat for SNL, given that it was her last season on the show. Past staples Jane Lynch and Jane Krakowski are feasible, as well as veteran Cloris Leachman, for "Raising Hope," and first-timer Kristen Bell, for "House Of Lies," while there could be a posthumous nomination for "Desperate Housewives" star Kathryn Joosten. But we think that it'll be two beloved comedy actresses from a pair of new shows -- Cheryl Hines and Maya Rudolph, of "Suburgatory" and "Up All Night," that'll make up the rest.  

Best Supporting Actor - Comedy
Ty Burrell - "Modern Family"
Ed O'Neill - "Modern Family"
Eric Stonestreet - "Modern Family"
Jesse Tyler Ferguson - "Modern Family"
Max Greenfield - "New Girl"
Nick Offerman - "Parks & Recreation"
Despite the show essentially having become a series about a gay couple who just argue all the fucking time, "Modern Family" should continue to dominate, and we're expecting all four actors who were nominated last time to repeat. Otherwise, we think this'll finally be Nick Offerman's year (Ron! Fucking! Swanson!), and "New Girl" breakout Max Greenfield should join them, but don't count out past nominees Chris Colfer or Neil Patrick Harris, or "The Big Bang Theory"'s Simon Helberg.

Parks & Rec Amy Poehler
Best Actress - Comedy
Tina Fey - "30 Rock"
Lena Dunham - "Girls"
Melissa McCarthy - "Mike & Molly"
Zooey Deschanel - "New Girl"
Amy Poehler - "Parks & Recreation"
Julia Louis-Dreyfus - "Veep"
Having finally broken through last year, our gut says that this should be Amy Poehler's year for the win: Season 4 might have been a touch weaker than the last, but it was a much better showcase for Poehler. She's got touch competition from Julia Louis-Dreyfus and multiple winner Tina Fey, and while last year's victor Melissa McCarthy is unlikely to repeat, she should get a nod, along with first-timer Zooey Deschanel (even those who don't like the show have to concede it's a pretty terrific comic turn). And we think she'll be joined by Lena Dunham -- "Girls" might not be classic Emmy material, but we think there'll be recognition for her if nothing else. That said, Laura Dern for "Englightened" is a strong contender (and we confess that we've not seen the show; if we had, we might have her in the final six), and Laura Linney and Edie Falco are both contenders too.

Best Actor - Comedy
Alec Baldwin - "30 Rock"
Johnny Galecki - "The Big Bang Theory"
Jim Parsons - "The Big Bang Theory"
Joel McHale - "Community"
Don Cheadle - "House Of Lies"
Louis C.K. - "Louie"
To a degree, this is likely to be the same story as last year; Jim Parsons winning, co-star Galecki nominated, Alec Baldwin there again, and a deserved nod for critic's favorite Louis C.K. We think that he's taken that playing-a-version-of-yourself slot over Larry David -- "Curb" didn't have its strongest season, which opens the way for movie star Don Cheadle to come in. And if "Community" ever gets a nod, it might be Joel McHale, the acceptable face of the show, and a weaker-than-usual category makes that plausible here.

Louie Episode One
Best Comedy Series
"The Big Bang Theory"
"Modern Family"
"New Girl"
"Parks And Recreation"
Again, this should be "Modern Family"'s category all over, although "Parks & Recreation" could be set for an upset. Otherwise, expect to see "Big Bang Theory" and "Louie" in there again, and our gut says that for the first time in years, we could see "30 Rock" fall out, in favor of freshman "New Girl." And for the sixth slot, we reckon critically lauded "Girls" will just sneak in, but "Curb Your Enthusiasm" might return, while "Veep" has a strong shot too, and "Community" could surprise (though probably not).