By Tom Brueggemann | Thompson on Hollywood April 6, 2014 at 1:07PM
2. "Noah" (Paramount) Week 2 - Last weekend #1
$17,000,000 (-61%) in 3,571 theaters (+4); PSA: $4,761; Cumulative: $72,341,000
This is a discouraging drop from Darren Aronofsky's film's decent if hardly enormous opening last weekend, showing some resistance to this unusual Biblical epic that was suggested by its weak initial Cinemascore. This is going to need much stronger international numbers (it was at $51 million through last Thursday, with numerous major territories debuting this weekend) to have a shot at making back its at least $125 million production budget,
What comes next: This should be an easy $100 million domestic total, although it now looks to fall short of the director's far less expensive smash "The Black Swan."
3. "Divergent" (Lionsgate) Week 3 - Last weekend #2
$13,000,000 (-49%) in 3,631 theaters (-305); PSA: $3,580; Cumulative: $114,029,000
Faced with major competition from "Captain America," this kept its drop to average levels, but this latest Lionsgate/Summit franchise starter still seems to be performing at the lower end of expectations. Still, with plenty of gross still ahead in the U.S. (this should end up somewhere over $150 million) and most of the world still awaiting the rollout, this economical ($85 million budget) production still has done well enough to justify the sequel plans.
What comes next: With no immediate demographic competition immediately ahead, this has a chance to stabilize in upcoming weeks.
4. "God's Not Dead" (Freestyle) Week 3 - Last weekend #5
$7,726,000 (-12%) in 1,758 theaters (+580); PSA: $4,395; Cumulative: $32,520,000
All of a sudden it looks possible that this $2 million off-the-radar polemical Christians-as-victims films might end up being the top indie release of the year so far, with a chance of ultimately outgrossing "The Grand Budapest Hotel." Expanding far wider than initially expected, with the potential for more to come, and also holding above average overall (the PSA fell about 40% this weekend) this continues to amaze with little mainstream attention (it still hasn't been reviewed in either the New York or Los Angeles Times despite playing both cities).
What comes next: The religious indie film world already was on the rise, but this success will mean an uptick in production and more initial wide play ahead, even if it comes from outside regular studio channels.
5. "The Grand Budapest Hotel" (Fox Searchlight) Week 5- Last weekend #6
$6,300,000 (-26%) in 1,263 theaters (+286); PSA: $4,988; Cumulative: $33,380,000
Still doing well, but beginning to fall in gross despite still adding 20% more theaters. The PSA dropped from $8,741 last weekend, in part because of the higher theater count, but still a sign that this has its limits as a crossover, wider audience film. Still, in its fifth weekend it has a total above what Wes Anderson's previous success "Moonrise Kingdom" had amassed in its ninth (its widest, at 924 theaters). This looks like a sure shot to pass $50 million.
What comes next: If it makes it past $57 million (likely, close to the "12 Years a Slave" total) this will be Fox Searchlight's biggest hit since "The Descendants," and their biggest ever without the boost of year-end awards campaigns aiding the gross.
6. "Muppets Most Wanted" (Buena Vista) Week 3 - Last weekend #3
$6,285,000 (-44%) in 3,052 theaters (-142); PSA: $2,059; Cumulative: $42,142,000
This continues to struggle to amass the hoped-for total. The previous series entry took in $88 million domestic (a little less than than international). Even with a boost from ongoing school vacations, this isn't likely to hit $70 million. Much of the world has yet to open, but the take based on results thus far and previous foreign interest for earlier films suggests not much more than $125 million total. With a $50 million pre-marketing budget, this could struggle to see profit.
What comes next: No one handles post-theatrical venues, particularly for kids' films, better than Disney, so this could still end up in the black and doing well enough to justify more sequels.
7. "Mr. Peabody and Sherman" (Twentieth Century Fox) Week 5 - Last weekend #4
$5,300,000 (-42%) in 2,931 theaters (-368); PSA: $2,931; Cumulative: $102,202,000
This looks like a success with a $100 million + domestic figure, but worldwide this hasn't yet reached $250 million. With an initial budget of $145 million, this Dreamworks Animation entry could still struggle to make a profit. Japan doesn't play until November though, and if China releases it, those combined numbers could do the trick,
What comes next: With ongoing school vacations throughout April, this might still hit $120 million at home.
8.. "Sabotage" (Open Road) Week 2 - Last weekend #7
$1,908,000 (-64%) in 2,486 theaters (unchanged); PSA: $767; Cumulative: $8,767,000
Schwarzenegger's late career flop fell almost 2/3s from its weak
opening, which confirms what was obvious last weak -- that except
possibly in ensemble situations, his days as a lead actor are over.
What comes next: This will struggle to gross even $12 million domestic.
9. "Need for Speed" (Buena Vista) Week 4 - Last weekend #8
$1,836,000 (-57%) in 1,779 theaters (-926); PSA: $1,032; Cumulative: $40,839,000
This Dreamworks Studio actioner remains weak in the U.S., but worldwide it is approaching an impressive $200 million, pushing this into positive territory despite its domestic shortfall.
What comes next: Major territories like Japan, South Korea and France are still to open, so this has a lot more to take in overseas.
10. "Non-Stop" (Universal) Week 6 - Last weekend #10
$1,800,000 (-54%) in 1,724 theaters (-791); PSA: $1,724; Cumulative: $88,100,000
Nearing the end of a strong run (even stronger overseas) and sticking around the Top 10 despite falling more than half this weekend.
What comes next: It won't quite make $100 million, but its over $200 million worldwide take more than justifies this mostly European financed film's $50 million budget,