Historically speaking, whoever wins the 2014 Directors Guild of America Award for Best Director becomes the likely winner at the Academy Awards. This year, "Gravity" director Alfonso Cuaron won the feature film prize at the DGAs and should start getting ready to say hello to Oscar. A live-blog of the winners below, plus the full list after the jump.
10:57 PM Alfonso Cuaron, natch, wins the award for Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film. "Thank you everyone. Let's have a drink." Amen.
10:49 PM Accepting his nominee medallion, Alfonso Cuaron gets big laughs: "Move the actor as little as possible and move the universe around the actor. That's pretty much how actors work, right?" Cuaron says he was inspired by Steven Spielberg's early effort "Duel" and the work of Robert Bresson to make "Gravity."
The DGAs will take a "commercial" break -- to honor directorial achievements in commercials, of course -- before Ben Affleck announces the feature film award winner.
10:35 PM In the dramatic series category, "Breaking Bad" creator Vince Gilligan bested fellow nominees David Fincher and "Bad" star Bryan Cranston, among others, for his direction of the series finale "Felina." Cranston was nominated for the episode "Blood Money," but lost to Gilligan (a sweet defeat, really). Cranston, nominated for his director's stint on "Modern Family," also lost the comedy award earlier this evening.
10:30 PM "Scandal" series creator Shonda Rhimes and executive producer Betsy Beers share this year's DGA Diversity Award, the first time that prize has gone to a woman (or two, for that matter).
10:08 PM Speaking about director Paul Greengrass, Tom Hanks compares his style to "theology," elegantly remarking that a director's purpose is "to capture the constant surprise of human nature, no matter the plot or story, and to reveal the truth of the common things we all understand and recognize no matter where we were born, whether in Vermont or Somalia." Picking up his DGA medallion, Greengrass, like Scorsese before him, attributes much of the film's success to his leading man, here Tom Hanks.
9:57 PM The Outstanding Directorial Achievement for a TV Movie or Miniseries award goes to Steven Soderbergh for "Behind the Candelabra," his second win of the night (see below). Accepting the award, he describes directors as "performance enhancers." The cast and crew of "Candelabra" can't resist awards season innuendo. Though the HBO film has swept TV awards, this is Soderbergh's first true DGA win, though he was nominated for both "Erin Brockovich" and "Traffic" (which won him the Oscar) in 2001.
9:33 PM Sarah Paulson presents DGA medallion to Steve McQueen: "Thank you for what you've done for me, and the world thanks you for what you've given us." McQueen, who declined to use a teleprompter, speaks candidly about why he needed to tell this story of slavery: "It had never been done in any real way, for me, in cinema."
9:26 PM Awarding a surprise Robert B. Aldrich Award in Service to Steven Soderbergh, DGA president Paris Barclay praises Soderbergh's contributions to film and to the guild, winking at the director's love of brevity, and his perpetual refusal to be on the cover of the quarterly DGA magazine.
Soderbergh begins his introduction: "I didn't want to join. I was forced to join." At the press room photocall, no-nonsense Soderbergh is asked repeatedly by photographers to "smile big!" Meanwhile, DGA Award for Children's programs goes to Amy Schatz, "An Apology to Elephants."
9:11 PM: Glenn Weiss, director of The 67th Annual Tony Awards, wins Outstanding Directorial Achievement in TV Specials, thanking fellow nominee (and 85th Academy Awards director) Don Mischer for "raising the bar for all of us in variety."
Accepting DGA nominee's medallion, Scorsese says of "Wolf of Wall Street," "Leo is really the one who's behind this whole thing. We wound up making five pictures together."
8:58 PM: Following 48 year-old TV associate director veteran Vincent DeDario's acceptance of the Franklin J. Schaffner Award from presenter Keith Jackson, Rob Reiner delivers an affectionate, yet raunchy tribute to director Martin Scorsese, about to step up to the pulpit to acceptance his DGA director nom medallion. So all five feature director nominees (Russell, Scorsese, Cuaron, McQueen, Greengrass) will go home with some bling tonight. "All that nudity in 'Wolf' and not once in any of my scenes," Reiner jokes.
8:38 PM: Presented by Nick Cannon, Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Reality Programs goes to Neil P. DeGroot, "72 Hours." Winner DeGroot vows to keep his speech short. "I'm only as good as the people I work with."
DeGroot's win follows David O. Russell's nearly ten-minute-long speech earlier, where he vehemently thanked virtually everyone onboard of "American Hustle." Russell's sincerity goes to show that even he, too, knows this may be his last chance accepting a best director award this year. (Cuaron and McQueen are DGA and Oscar frontrunners.)
8:27 PM: Director David O. Russell accepts DGA nominee "medallion" from "American Hustle" star Bradley Cooper. Russell takes a jab at the length of "The Wolf of Wall Street," making himself laugh while crediting Scorsese as his "dream teacher." He also says that TV directors are giving filmmakers "a run for our money."
8:17 PM: The best documentary director prize goes to Jehane Noujaim for "The Square." Will she best Morgan Neville ("20 Feet from Stardom") at the Academy Awards? Upon accepting prize, Noujaim comments on unexpected virality of "The Square," the first Egyptian film (and by a woman!) to be nominated for an Oscar. Today is the third anniversary of the Egyptian revolution, which Noujaim explores in her doc. So far, both DGA Awards this evening have been won by women.
8:13 PM: Best Comedy Series director award goes to Beth McCarthy-Miller for "30 Rock." She's not present tonight. "Didn't want the plague," Kendrick remarks.
8:09 PM Comedy presenter Anna Kendrick, star of Joe Swanberg's "Happy Christmas," says she got sick at Sundance. "You're all out there laughing and coughing like you were there. You weren't there," Kendrick cracks.
8:07 PM: Emcee Jane Lynch, the first female to ever host the DGA Awards, and DGA president/prolific TV director Paris Barclay, the first African American to helm the guild, make opening remarks. First category up is best director of a comedy series, to be presented by Anna Kendrick.
EARLIER In recent years, DGA winners Michel Hazanavicius, Tom Hooper, Kathryn Bigelow and Danny Boyle all took home the Oscar for Best Director. (Take a look at all past DGA winners here.) 2012, however, broke tradition, as DGA winner Ben Affleck was not included in the final Oscar five for Best Director. This year, DGA nominee Paul Greengrass was edged out of the Oscar race by "Nebraska" director Alexander Payne, who took Greengrass' predicted spot.
This year's DGA-nominated documentary filmmakers didn't match up with the five Oscar nominated directors either: DGA winner Jehane Noujaim ("The Square"), Zachary Heinzerling ("Cutie and the Boxer"), Joshua Oppenheimer ("The Act of Killing"), Sarah Polley ("Stories We Tell") and Lucy Walker ("The Crash Reel"). The final Oscar five swapped Polley and Walker for Morgan Neville ("20 Feet from Stardom," the film to beat) and Rick Rowley ("Dirty Wars"). DGA winner Noujaim is up for the Oscar.
Over 15,000 film and television directors make up the Guild, while the Academy directors' branch has just 371 members. Tonight's emcee is comedian Jane Lynch. Presenters include Ben Affleck, Sandra Bullock, Don Cheadle, Steve Coogan, Bradley Cooper, Tom Hanks, Anna Kendrick, Sarah Paulson, Rob Reiner and Kerry Washington.
The remaining 2014 DGA Awards winners nominations, including television categories, after the jump. Winners are bolded.