Heading into the critics group voting next week, which documentaries are leading the pack in terms of nominations? The Academy doc branch has already filed their ballots for the top 15 shortlist (our TOH! predictions for the 15 Oscar docs are here). Based on nominations from PGA, the Indie Spirits, the IDA, the Gothams and the Cinema Eye Honors, here's what we got.
Joshua Oppenheimer's harrowing yet mesmerizing "The Act of Killing" (review) appears to be the clear frontrunner: it has picked up Best Documentary nominations from the Indie Spirits, the Gothams, the IDA and Cinema Eye.
Meanwhile, Sarah Polley's family mystery "Stories We Tell" (interview) is sitting strong with top honor nominations from IDA and Cinema Eye. Same goes for third-trimester abortion documentary "After Tiller" (review), with nods from the Indie Spirits and Cinema Eye. Ditto Egyptian revolution doc "The Square" (interview), with noms from the Indie Spirits and IDA.
Also in the mix are Zachary Heinzerling's brilliant portrait of Japanese artist couple Ushio and Noriko Shinohara "Cutie and Boxer" (interview), which is leading the Cinema Eye honors with six nominations. Gabriela Cowperthwaite's SeaWorld expose "Blackfish" (review), which we think will have good chances at the Oscars, has an IDA nod, as does portrait of backup singers "20 Feet from Stardom" (interview). Jason Osder's found-footage thriller on the 1985 bombing of radical group MOVE "Let the Fire Burn" has landed a Gotham and IDA nomination, while Lucy Walker's "The Crash Reel" (interview), on the rivalry between snowboarders Shaun White and Kevin Pearce and Pearce's subsequent disastrous injury, also has a Gotham nod..
Dawn Porter's "Gideon's Army," Alan Berliner's "First Cousin, Once Removed," Penny Lane's "Our Nixon" and Lucien Castaing-Taylor and Véréna Paravel’s "Leviathan" are all sitting with one nomination in a top category from either the IDA, the Spirits, the Gothams or Cinema Eye, though these titles might have more of an outside chance in gaining awards traction.
The PGA Documentary nominations vary pretty drastically from the above awards groups. Of the six titles nominated by the Producers Guild, Alex Gibney's "We Steal Secrets: The Story of Wikileaks" (interview) is the most likely to make it to the Oscar shortlist: