Oscar Talk: 'Argo' vs. 'Lincoln,' PGA, SAG, and DGA; Affleck and Day-Lewis Hit Santa Barbara

Awards
by Anne Thompson
February 1, 2013 12:00 PM
1 Comment
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On this week's Oscar Talk podcast, Kris Tapley and I discuss the recent PGA and SAG wins for Ben Affleck's "Argo," which is now mounting a formidable challenge to Steven Spielberg's "Lincoln." And we cover last weekend's Affleck and Daniel Day-Lewis tributes in Santa Barbara.

While I can see several key Oscar races going "Argo"'s way, Affleck's lack of a director nom remains a statistical barrier to a Best Picture win. Kris advocates for "Argo" all the way, while I want to see what happens at the Directors Guild Awards this weekend. He says Affleck or Ang Lee will win that group; I think it's Spielberg. This means I have backed off my bet on Lee.

Next week we'll read the tea leaves after the DGA awards, and check out the race for animated and live action shorts--picking right can determine whether or not you win your Oscar pool.

The podcast is also on iTunes.

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1 Comment

  • C K | February 1, 2013 4:11 PMReply

    The Academy seems to prefer emotional movies these days. If I were promoting Lincoln I would remind people that Spielberg directed the very emotional War Horse last year. In the ads I would put a picture of War Horse with the text: FROM THE DIRECTOR OF WAR HORSE - and then cut to a picture of Lincoln. That way academy-members will feel they are voting for the two movies combined. Does this sound silly?

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