While I can see several key Oscar races going "Argo"'s way, Affleck's lack of a director nom remains a statistical barrier to a Best Picture win. Kris advocates for "Argo" all the way, while I want to see what happens at the Directors Guild Awards this weekend. He says Affleck or Ang Lee will win that group; I think it's Spielberg. This means I have backed off my bet on Lee.
Next week we'll read the tea leaves after the DGA awards, and check out the race for animated and live action shorts--picking right can determine whether or not you win your Oscar pool.
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