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Oscar Talk: 'Argo' vs. 'Lincoln,' PGA, SAG, and DGA; Affleck and Day-Lewis Hit Santa Barbara

Photo of Anne Thompson By Anne Thompson | Thompson on Hollywood February 1, 2013 at 12:00PM

On this week's Oscar Talk podcast, Kris Tapley and I discuss the recent PGA and SAG wins for Ben Affleck's "Argo," which is now mounting a formidable challenge to Steven Spielberg's "Lincoln." And we cover last weekend's Affleck and Daniel Day-Lewis tributes in Santa Barbara.
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On this week's Oscar Talk podcast, Kris Tapley and I discuss the recent PGA and SAG wins for Ben Affleck's "Argo," which is now mounting a formidable challenge to Steven Spielberg's "Lincoln." And we cover last weekend's Affleck and Daniel Day-Lewis tributes in Santa Barbara.

While I can see several key Oscar races going "Argo"'s way, Affleck's lack of a director nom remains a statistical barrier to a Best Picture win. Kris advocates for "Argo" all the way, while I want to see what happens at the Directors Guild Awards this weekend. He says Affleck or Ang Lee will win that group; I think it's Spielberg. This means I have backed off my bet on Lee.

Next week we'll read the tea leaves after the DGA awards, and check out the race for animated and live action shorts--picking right can determine whether or not you win your Oscar pool.

The podcast is also on iTunes.

This article is related to: Awards, Academy Awards, Producers Guild Awards, Screen Actors Guild, Awards, Oscars


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Thompson on Hollywood

Born and raised in Manhattan, Anne Thompson grew up going to the Thalia and The New Yorker and wound up at grad Cinema Studies at NYU. She worked at United Artists and Film Comment before heading west as that magazine's west coast editor. She wrote for the LA Weekly, Sight and Sound, Empire, The New York Times and Entertainment Weekly before serving as West Coast Editor of Premiere. She wrote for The Washington Post, The London Observer, Wired, More, and Vanity Fair, and did staff stints at The Hollywood Reporter and Variety. She eventually took her blog Thompson on Hollywood to Indiewire. She taught film criticism at USC Critical Studies, and continues to host the fall semester of “Sneak Previews” for UCLA Extension.