Stuck In Love,
Awards Season Roundup
December 6, 2013 10:45 PMReply
Are your names in alphabetical order or in order of prediction? It will be interesting to see how the steam starts to roll in the next week with LA board of Review, GG and SAG noms.
December 5, 2013 7:54 PMReply
Pretty sure Jennifer Lawrence is a frontrunner for Best Supporting Actress.
December 4, 2013 11:40 PMReply
So I am guessing you haven't seen the best film of the year - 'The Book Thief' with the Best Actress performance by Sophie NÃ©lisse, Best Supporting Actress performance by Emily Watson and Best Supporting Actor performances by Geoffrey Rush & Nico Liersch.
November 7, 2013 11:29 PMReply
IÂ´m sure that Jake Gylenhall will be in an Oscar Contender, he is truly great in Prisoners.
Scott Brooks |
November 3, 2013 11:17 PMReply
What about the strong performances of the child performers, film, and supporting actors in "The Inevitable Defeat Of Mister and Pete"?
Anne Thompson |
October 30, 2013 12:32 AMReply
Why not? Because it's a romantic comedy from a woman writer-director starring two actors usually associated with television?
November 18, 2013 5:31 PM
also seems like a reasonable thought process when trying to predict the academy's behaviour.
October 29, 2013 8:53 PMReply
Enough Said is not an Oscar contender. Guarantee it.
October 24, 2013 6:14 PMReply
Swap out Emma Thompson and Judi Dench for JLD (long shot, for sure) and Brie Larson (not enough people have seen this gem). The Academy loves great British dames and stories that purports the magic of Hollywood.
Anne Thompson |
October 24, 2013 12:48 PMReply
Yes, "Fruitvale Station" and "American Hustle" are categorizing themselves as original screenplays even though they are based on the lives of real people. They are not adapting published memoirs.
November 18, 2013 5:29 PM
October 24, 2013 5:49 AMReply
Why are Fruitvale and Hustle listed at Adapted? What were they adapted from? And, being only "inspired" by a newspaper article, isn't the jury out on the category designation for Butler? Isn't TWC going for Original? And where is Dallas Buyers Club for screenplay, even as a long-shot? And, newsflash, Philomena is getting nominated for Adapted Screenplay. Either I didn't get the memo, or this is a hot mess.
October 24, 2013 12:32 AMReply
"Gravity" as frontrunner for Costume Design? I think that must be a mistake. Nothing wrong in "Gravity"'s costumes but I mean, there are only three versions; two kinds of space suits and Bullock's underwears.
October 19, 2013 8:56 PMReply
I sugest you for the best foreign film "The Child Position"
October 17, 2013 8:37 AMReply
Why isn't Amy Adams for "American Hustle" in the contenders?
October 15, 2013 7:04 PMReply
I'd love to see Harris Savides at least get a Golden Globe nod for Bling Ring. But thats just me.
October 14, 2013 2:06 PMReply
How the hell do you consider Nebraska such a frontrunner? The reviews aren't the same as sideways and the descendants. It's not going to make much money and doesnt seem too audience friendly. Yes it will probably be a good movie but it's not oscars and the reviews aren't strong enough. Especially not for director. I mean really. It's not even going to be nominated.
October 12, 2013 4:07 PMReply
I really liked how you put Brie Larson as a frontrunner for best actress. Too bad the academy has a boner for Cate Blanchett and will obviously give it to her.(In her defense she did a good job, just not as good as Brie)
Daniel Delago |
October 12, 2013 4:08 AMReply
It's pretentious to give Oscar predictions on films that haven't been seen by the public yet. This list is filled with commercial Hollywood fare and not many indies. Toronto Film Festival this year was flooded with too many Hollywood films. Keep your focus on independent films, Indiewire...
Joe H. |
October 11, 2013 7:50 PMReply
Lone Ranger a frontrunner for Cinematography?? haha who wrote this list?
October 24, 2013 2:20 PM
I couldn't agree more.
MATTHEW MCCORRECTAUGHEY |
September 28, 2013 5:43 AMReply
September 27, 2013 5:06 PMReply
So you're going with Juila Roberts in Lead huh? Even despite the Hollywood Film Awards nomination (yes I know they're bullshit) but it seems like she'll be pushed in Supporting?
September 26, 2013 6:49 PMReply
Cameron Diaz ! :D cheetah pet !rawr
September 21, 2013 9:52 PMReply
How is Disconnect, not on this list? It is by far, the best film I've seen all year and Jason Bateman's performance is definitely Oscar worthy.
September 11, 2013 10:26 AMReply
the film or the actor are not on this list, but 'All is Bright' should be up there and so should paul giamatti for the lead role.
September 10, 2013 4:28 PMReply
Brie Larson will not only be mom for an Oscar she will the Oscar for best actress
ELDON PERRY |
September 14, 2013 5:08 PM
is she that good ?i saw her in 'Rampart' and 'united states of tara'
September 9, 2013 3:51 PMReply
Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years a Slave.
September 9, 2013 10:54 AMReply
I think Anne should consider Marion Cotillard, she is fenomenal in the immigrant
Tom Brueggemann |
September 9, 2013 1:10 PM
Leyla - to my knowledge, The Immigrant hasn't been confirmed as a 2013 release - that could be why she isn't included. Films that appear at Cannes sometimes don't get released until the following year - Mud, for example, premiered at Cannes, didn't play at Toronto, did show at NY, then was released this year.
September 9, 2013 4:05 AMReply
Blue Jasmine is frontrunner for best picture ! WoW ! I mean no doubt that Cate Blanchet's performance is an absolute lock on the front and Woody Allen's screenplay but the movie man, I mean have you ever considered Before Midnight should instead be on Blue Jasmine's place or be the fifth frontrunner
September 8, 2013 8:54 PMReply
Where is Marion Cotillard for The Immigrant??? PLEASE ANNE THOMPSON CONSIDER MARION COTILLARD AND HER BRILLIANT PERFORMANCE!!!!!
September 8, 2013 6:20 PMReply
Before Midnight is a long shot? I'd put it as a frontrunner.
Michael Thomas |
September 1, 2013 2:28 PMReply
Never mind, I see it, how the hell do I delete?
September 13, 2013 2:38 PM
MichaelWhat did you see that is referenced here?
September 1, 2013 10:37 AMReply
It would be nice if you put the date you updated your prediction. It would also nice if you add like "screened" to the ones you put in other than "frontrunner" section, you know, so that we know you screened the film but didn't think it's a frontrunner.
Anne Thompson |
August 17, 2013 6:30 PMReply
At this stage when I have seen so few of the Oscar contenders, I am citing worthy candidates. Many things still must play out. As the year progresses and I see more films at the fall festivals and critics and Academy voters are more vocal and a consensus emerges, the list will change dramatically. Never count out Sony Pictures Classics or Harvey Weinstein. Both "Blue Jasmine" and "The Butler" are big hits and could wind up in strong positions at year's end, along with "Fruitvale Station." Now that "Ain't Them Bodies Saints" is opening poorly, it will have a tough road. It could pick up critical support later in the year, which would drive Academy actors to watch screeners--assuming IFC sends them out. It's a beautifully made film with strong performances. But if it winds up tainted as a flop, that will hurt its actors' chances; I'm moving them out of the front runner slots.
August 17, 2013 6:09 PMReply
These kind of suck. Your frontrunners aren't frontrunners. Blue Jasmine won't be nominated and the Butler and Before midnight are questionable. Rooney Mara, Julie Delpy, Greta Gerwig, Michael B Jordan, Casey Affleck, Ethan Hawke and Madds Mikkelson will all not be nominated. MAYBE 1 of them will slip in and that maybe is only Michael B Jordan. A lot of the rest of these are also not very good.
Joe H |
October 11, 2013 9:02 PM
agreed, these predictions are pretty strange
August 2, 2013 10:48 PMReply
August 2, 2013 10:47 PMReply
My Predictions:Best Picture:Winner: The Secret Life of Walter MittyFruitvale StationLee Daniels' The ButlerInside Llewyn DavisSaving Mr. BanksThe Book ThiefLabor DayThe Wolf on Wall Street12 Years a SlaveAugust: Osage CountyBest Director:Winner: Ben Stiller - The Secret Life of Walter MittyMartin Scorsese - The Wolf on Wall StreetRyan Coogler - Fruitvale StationJason Reitman - Labor DaySteve McQueen - 12 Years a SlaveBest Actor:Winner: Geoffrey Rush - The Book Thief Forest Whitaker - Lee Daniels' The ButlerMichael B. Jordan - Fruitvale StationBruce Dern - NebraskaBenedict Cumberlatch - The Fifth EstateBest Actress: Winner: Kate Winslet - Labor DayNicole Kidman - Grace in MonacoSophie NÃ©lisse - The Book ThiefEmma Thompson - Saving Mr. BanksCate Blanchett - Blue Jasmine
August 17, 2013 6:10 PM
Secret Life of Walter Mitty is NOT winning best picture and director, I can tell you that. It looks good, but still. Not Oscars.
LCA Film |
August 1, 2013 12:31 AMReply
Here is LCA Film's Best Picture Predictions:http://licacfilm.blogspot.com/2013/06/oscar-best-picture-predictions.htmlWe are rooting for 12 Years a Slave, The Wolf of Wall Street, American Hustle and Gravity, but our predictions might tell a slightly different story...
July 12, 2013 8:30 PMReply
What about Mud?? Best movie I've seen in years!!
July 12, 2013 5:44 PMReply
What about "The Hunt" and Mads Mikkelsen!?
June 21, 2013 8:44 AMReply
Did "MUD" get left out of this completely???
June 11, 2013 9:26 PMReply
Oh god please be right about Before Midnight, if only film series deserves Oscar attention its this one. Linklater, Delpy and Hawke make the perfect trio.
June 6, 2013 11:17 PMReply
I'm getting an overwhelming amount of favoritism in this list. Horrible.
July 14, 2013 7:41 PM
Most of the films that will contend for this year's Oscars have not yet been seen. The only way to predict at this point is to look at lists of upcoming films and try to gauge just what the Academy will go for. At this time last year, I had The Dark Knight Rises receiving ten nominations for my own awards, not because I thought it was the best of the year, but because it was all I had seen that was worthy of mention. It isn't favoritism on Miss Thompson's part, just a lack of available choices.
June 9, 2013 12:55 PM
yeah, right. should try to be "less" obvs.
June 5, 2013 9:13 PMReply
It'll be IMPOSSIBLE for Bejo to get another nomination before Cotillard.
June 5, 2013 9:25 PM
Definitely! And certainly not a year after Cotillard was outrageously snubbed for Rust and Bone!BTW, everybody knows that Cotillard was supposed to play the lead in THE PAST, so it's definitely impossible for Bejo to get nominated this year except if Cotillard is also nominated.Also Bejo might have won at Cannes but that's the taste of less than 10 people, it doesn't mean that the academy will love it & the weird thing is that Cotillard's performance has by far the best review of the year. (Variety even called it "a career best") She should be the frontrunner because even the bad reviews LOVED her.
April 12, 2013 4:00 PMReply
You need to include springbreakers as a contender for best picture also James Franco for best actor for springbreakers
June 9, 2013 11:00 AM
Springbreakers for Best Picture? James Franco for best actor? Please tell me that you are kidding! Im offended that you would even think there was a remote chance for that film to even be considered!
Dave Y |
March 5, 2013 12:55 AMReply
These seem to be very good predictions. Check out the ones at Awards Frenzy too.
February 25, 2013 11:19 AMReply
Sorry but i haven't been able to take the Oscars Seriously for Years.
the kid |
March 27, 2013 7:27 PM
No need to apoligize. We're not offended.
February 25, 2013 9:28 AMReply
This is inaccurate. "Best animated short film"Adam and Dog" Minkyu Lee"Paperman" John Kahrs"Maggie Simpson in "The Longest Daycare"" David Silverman"Fresh Guacamole" PES"Head over Heels" Timothy Reckart and Fodhla Cronin O'Reilly"Paperman won this one, I know because we were watching and we saw Paperman in Wreck-It Ralph and got pretty excited when it won.I don't think Life of Pi should have won that much. I think the Hobbit deserves a lot of the wins.
February 25, 2013 12:43 AMReply
Thanks for posting your predictions! I think you got all of them right except two? I'm making note to come back next year to get your input before casting my ballot!! You were right on!
Snooby Dooby Doo |
February 22, 2013 9:21 PMReply
Alas, the tide is changing!!!! Riva now has the support of the public, the Europeans, BAFTA, and apparently some Oscars voters. I now think it is a Riva-Lawrence battle too close to call. Hope Riva wins though.
February 21, 2013 4:13 AMReply
It's taken the Academy 84 years to award just four leading actors (Hepburn, Bergman, Nicholson, Streep) with three Oscars and it took those actors three to five decades with multiple nominations to earn that very rare honor. So why is everyone absolutely convinced that Daniel Day Lewis has this in the bag? Because he's a great actor in a great role? So was Bette Davis in All About Eve, Spencer Tracy in Guess Who's Coming To Dinner and Marlon Brando in Last Tango In Paris, but the Academy didn't give them that third Oscar for their efforts. They never gave two of the greatest actors who've ever lived, Richard Burton and Peter O'Toole, even one competitive Oscar in their legendary careers. Pre-Oscar awards, critics and public opinion are not the Academy voters. For Daniel to do this, he'll have to beat these odds: at 55, he'd be the youngest to do it, he'd be the fastest to get there in just 23 years and he'd have to do it with the least amount of nominations, just five. It took the Academy nearly 30 years to finally honor Meryl Streep (arguably the greatest living actress in the world) with her third Oscar (in part because Harvey Weinstein went out and got it for her), so why would anyone think that they're just going to hand Daniel another one especially since he won just five years age? If he's accorded this in just his mid 50's, it sets him up to catch Hepburn and maybe even pass her. My hunch is that if were going to see a three time winner this year, it's going to be DiNiro whose 40 year career has earned him such an honor (and yeah, he has Weinstein out stumping for him too). And since it's taken the Academy over eight decades to bestow this very rare honor on just four leading actors, what do you suppose the odds are that they're going to do it twice (Day Lewis, DiNiro), in just one night? Another hunch? Keep your eye on Hugh Jackman. He too gave a performance that's been universally praised and he's amoungst the most beloved by his peers in the business and don't think that doesn't count. P.S. There were a few more two time Best Actor winners than what you mentioned. There were nine: Fredrick March, Spencer Tracy, Gary Cooper, Marlon Brando, Dustin Hoffman, Jack Nicholson, Daniel Day Lewis, Tom Hanks and Sean Penn. In 84 years only nine two time Best Actor winners. Golly, it's hard to win two Best Actor trophies let alone three. Oh that's right, in 84 years, no male actor ever has.
March 9, 2013 10:48 AM
Well, I bet you feel pretty silly right now.
February 21, 2013 1:00 AMReply
I've always enjoyed Tommy Lee Jones' movies, with one of my favorite performances of his being in Coal Miner's Daughter. That movie came out so long ago, but his work never ceases to amaze me, which is why I'll be tuning in this Sunday to cheer him on to winning Best Supporting role in Lincoln. I may be called into my office at DISH halfway through the Oscars, but thanks to my DISH Hopper, I'll just finish the awards on the go. I can turn my Smartphone or tablet into a mobile TV and watch live TV, my recordings, and once in a lifetime awards shows like the Oscars wherever I go.
Kenneth Duckworth |
February 20, 2013 7:45 AMReply
As a Foreign Service Officer, I thank Ben Afleck for bringing to light - of only partially - a little known bit of American diplomatic history and shining a bit of light on behalf of the work we do in service to America. However, I do not think the film should win Best Picture, and that is because in an era where very few Americans bother to learn about history, it presents a fantasy about what happened during the Iran Hostage Crisis and how our Canadian allies helped our American diplomats escape. The Canadian role is downplayed for the story of a heroic CIA officer and a bunch of Hollywood operatives who pull one over on the Iranians. The final scenes of the movie, where the diplomats escape from Tehren with the Revolutionary Guard in hot pursuit never happened. Yet, many Americans will take this film as a rendering of historical truth rather than an adventure film dressed up in historic costume. "Lincoln," on the other hand, while also taking liberties with the actual historical narrative of what happened in the fight to bring about the 13th amendment, is basically true to the overall events and paints a good picture of the work the arm twisting and legislative skullduggery that often needs to take place to accomplish great things. For those wishing to know a bit more about the Iran Hostage Crisis, I recommend Mark Bowden's "Guests of the Ayatollah." For more on Lincoln and the 13th Amendment, "The Fiery Trial."
February 28, 2013 7:59 PM
Mr Duckworth, well guess what? The movie was not filmed in Iran either...get over it
February 20, 2013 12:42 AMReply
Uthinki - the social predicton game - has gone all out for the Oscars this year, posting a bunch of Oscars-themed questions. If you haven't played the game, the idea is to predict how other players will answer polls and trivia. You win if you can outsmart the crowd. Play now at uthinki.com
tia maria |
February 15, 2013 6:00 PMReply
Think Riva will take away award for best leading actress, as BAFTA winners normally go on to win the Oscar as well
February 15, 2013 12:20 AMReply
Me thinks Riva and De Niro are both on upward trajectories to victory. There's so much backstory for both. She has never been to LA before, her birthday is the day of the awards, will be oldest Best Actress winner ever. He ... oh come on, who doesn't want him to be up on stage clinching his Oscar and saying to him: "YOU TALKING TO ME?!?"
February 14, 2013 9:09 AMReply
best film:argo-lincolnbest director:ang li-spilbergactor;day-lewis/acterss:riva
February 13, 2013 3:18 AMReply
Met some old college classmates last weekend. They work in the industry. All of them has spoken to/heard of folks - especially the older ones - changing their Oscar votes in favor of Riva. They have been doing so in droves, apparently. Even more so after the BAFTAs victory.
February 15, 2013 12:24 AM
As voters ourselves, my wife and I cast our ballots for Riva. We are in our 60s if anyone is wondering.
February 14, 2013 5:04 AM
This is the exact rhetoric the Republicans used to explain how they were actually winning in November. They heard folks coming out to vote in droves and so on and so forth. We all remember how that went.
February 11, 2013 8:06 PMReply
Just one correction! It is not true that since The Emigrants (1973), a Best Foreign nominated movie also landed a Best Actress nomination. Whoever wrote this is forgetting the Brazilian movie Central Station (1999), which had its main star (Fernanda Montenegro) nominated for the leading actress category, alongside Meryl Streep, Cate Blanchett, Emily Watson and Gwyneth Paltrow!Nice article anyway! Good insights! But let's see if Jennifer Lawrence really wins! She is the major contender, but Emmanuelle Riva has just won the BAFTA's Awards. Maybe she is a threat much more than what we imagine!
January 30, 2013 5:51 PMReply
The person who tried to write this article should do some research. "Sympathy votes for Argo"?!Pray tell just how many of these awards waited for the nominations to be announced to complete their voting.
January 20, 2013 5:09 PMReply
I think a major snub performance was that of Jean-Louis Trintignant. It's way better than Denzel's one. Jean-Louis creates a character that suffers so much in the inside but doesn't let his emotions get out, even if you can see in his eyes what he truly feels. Not many people can do that. But the Academy apparently doesn't like those kind of performances (see Ryan Gosling).I thought it would've made sense if the Academy nominated him if Emmanuelle Riva got a nom, but one could say this also for John Hawkes (who is the major snub in that category)
January 18, 2013 6:58 PMReply
I'VE SEEN ALL OF THE NOMINATED, BUT NONE OF THEM IS AS GOOD AS 'END OF WATCH' - BEST PICTURE IN MY OPINION!
January 17, 2013 3:55 AMReply
Even the bookmakers favor of Daniel Day-Lewis for exposing him so high odds. Not even worth the effort to make bets on his winning. But you can take a chance to put into other categories. The odds look better for bet on the Best Actress.
January 14, 2013 8:17 PMReply
And where is The Hobbit??
February 25, 2013 9:29 AM
It was in there I think 3 times. It should have won a lot of awards, but I'm not sure it did. I think it lost to Life of Pi, which doesn't really deserve them. (IMO)
January 20, 2013 9:27 AM
It's in best makeup and production. Did you miss it? It doesn't deserve anything else.
January 10, 2013 9:37 AMReply
It happens every year Daniel Day Lewis will win because he is playing an American President they cant upset the politics. which is a shame because Hugh Jackman was outstanding and deserves to win.
January 18, 2013 6:34 AM
You clearly haven't seen "Lincoln". Or you simply don't know what true acting is.Hugh Jackman is good in "Les Miserables", and even Bradley Cooper was really good in "Silver Linings Playbook", but both cannot be compared to Daniel Day-Lewis' performance. His performance is on a whole different league. His performance is the best performance of the last 5-6 years, the last great performance by an actor was for "There Will Be Blood", again from Daniel Day-Lewis.He will win because he's the best living actor.
January 10, 2013 10:32 AM
i totally agree!!!i hope hugh wins though!
January 10, 2013 3:50 AMReply
What about Jafar panahi's This is not a film on the category of best documentary feature...?!Come on... its been adored by many critics and indie critics
January 26, 2013 12:28 PM
daniel day lewis is so overated their are so many better actors jack nicholson , robert deniro , i can go on
January 9, 2013 6:32 PMReply
TERRIBLE predictions! You know NOTHING about Hollywood!
January 10, 2013 1:16 PM
Yeah, I'm sure you would have done better.
TJ S |
January 9, 2013 5:07 PMReply
Awful awful AWFUL predictions. Skyfall for Best Picture??? And only 8 noms for BP total? And no DiCaprio nom for Django. You are in for a rude awakening tomorrow morning.
January 8, 2013 7:54 AMReply
I am surprised there is nothing from Stephen Chbosky's magnificent ' The Perks Of Being A Wallflower'? I know it's a long run for it to win anything but I would so love for it to at least get nomination or a consideration.