Kris Tapley of In Contention and I talk about some low-profile films that may not make it into the race--including Solitary Man, Welcome to the Rileys--and whether Michael Douglas has a chance. We rate the three strong Andrew Garfield performances of the year: Red Riding Trilogy, Never Let Me Go, The Social Network.

We ask, is it possible, with ten best picture nominees, for a lone director to get a nod when his (usually male, I know) film does not? Mike Leigh (Another Year) and Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan) are possibilities. We debate the animated top three: after Toy Story 3 and How to Train Your Dragon, will it be The Illusionist, or Despicable Me? We don't think Disney's campaign for Alice in Wonderland will yield more than well-deserved technical nods. We both like Fair Game, starring Sean Penn and Naomi Watts, but don't see too much Oscar action for it.