By Anne Thompson | Thompson on Hollywood December 31, 2010 at 5:11AM
In Contention's Kris Tapley and I weigh the impact of year-end releases on the Oscar race. Will Another Year's Lesley Manville squeak into best actress contention, is Nicole Kidman hurt by the weak performance of Rabbit Hole? And what about frontrunner Natalie Portman's new pregnancy? What would it take to push Biutiful's Javier Bardem or I Am Love's Tilda Swinton into the race?
We examine the impact of the WGA's exclusion of eligibility for The King's Speech, Blue Valentine, Toy Story 3 and Winter's Bone, as well as the Oscar music branch's decision to exclude Carter Burwell's elegiac score for True Grit. Toy Story 3's Randy Newman never submits his scores, for some reason. With the WGA, DGA and PGA nominations coming up, we make fearless predictions of who will get DGA nods--will The Kids Are All Right's Lisa Cholodenko be spurned by the Steak Eaters?
We also cold call a surprise guest and giggle like schoolchildren.