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Oscar Watch: Final Nominations Predictions

Photo of Anne Thompson By Anne Thompson | Thompson on Hollywood February 2, 2010 at 2:01AM

Today, I picked up my credential to attend the Oscar nominations announcement bright and early Tuesday morning. I'll bring my laptop and file from there. I like getting the information packet that has all the stats and info about all the nominees. I have posted my final predictions, front runners and one long shot in all the categories except the shorts, which I have not seen.
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Thompson on Hollywood

Today, I picked up my credential to attend the Oscar nominations announcement bright and early Tuesday morning. I'll bring my laptop and file from there. I like getting the information packet that has all the stats and info about all the nominees. I have posted my final predictions, front runners and one long shot in all the categories except the shorts, which I have not seen.

In the end, Avatar did far better than I was expecting. Initially I had figured it would not land nominations for screenplay, costume or song. But now it looks like it might, so I'm betting that Avatar could land an amazing 12 nominations, even without any actors. By comparison, Titanic scored 14 noms and won 11 Oscars. After Avatar, The Hurt Locker and Inglourious Basterds could earn eight nominations each, Up in the Air and Star Trek seven, District 9 six, Precious five, An Education, Sherlock Holmes, Crazy Heart, Invictus and Up three, and A Serious Man, The Last Station, Fantastic Mr. Fox, Nine, Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen and A Single Man two.

That leaves among the single digit titles: The Blind Side, Julie & Julia, The Messenger, The Lovely Bones, Ponyo, The Princess and the Frog, Harry Potter & the Half-Blood Prince, Bright Star, The Young Victoria, The Imaginarium of Dr. Parnassus, Where the Wild Things Are, Everybody's Fine and 2012--plus the foreign and doc nominees. I'm probably off-base to a degree, especially with the hard-to-call music categories. One category that's wide open to surprises is supporting actor. Other than likely ultimate winner Christoph Waltz, nobody is a lock in that one. We'll see tomorrow.

This article is related to: Awards, Directors, Franchises, Headliners, Oscars, Quentin Tarantino, James Cameron, Kathryn Bigelow, Star Trek, Harry Potter, Avatar, Sandra Bullock, George Clooney, Meryl Streep, Matt Damon


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Thompson on Hollywood

Born and raised in Manhattan, Anne Thompson grew up going to the Thalia and The New Yorker and wound up at grad Cinema Studies at NYU. She worked at United Artists and Film Comment before heading west as that magazine's west coast editor. She wrote for the LA Weekly, Sight and Sound, Empire, The New York Times and Entertainment Weekly before serving as West Coast Editor of Premiere. She wrote for The Washington Post, The London Observer, Wired, More, and Vanity Fair, and did staff stints at The Hollywood Reporter and Variety. She eventually took her blog Thompson on Hollywood to Indiewire. She taught film criticism at USC Critical Studies, and continues to host the fall semester of “Sneak Previews” for UCLA Extension.