2. The Kids Are All Right
3. The King's Speech
4. Toy Story 3
5. The Social Network
6. True Grit
7. Black Swan
After that, there is more uncertainty, although Another Year, The Fighter, Love and Other Drugs, 127 Hours and Winter's Bone are in the fray. I'm not sure why Never Let Me Go isn't higher in the rankings. I seem to be higher on prospects for The Tempest and Inside Job: frankly I was stretching to come up with 13, not to mention the 15 Poland was asking for. Some of these films will have more chances at acting (Another Year, Love and Other Drugs) or category nods (Inside Job) than landing on the top ten list, which we're projecting (admittedly) way too early.
Speaking of Oscars, it's no surprise that Jean-Luc Godard, 79, is having some fun at the Academy's expense, and will not show for the Governor's Awards in November. In 2007 he did not attend the European Film Academy awards to accept his lifetime achievement prize, demurring in a message: "I don't have the impression that I have made a career." His companion Anne-Marie Mieville explained his reasons for not accepting the honorary Oscar in person:
"He just told me, 'It's not the Oscars.' At first he thought it was going to be part of the same ceremony, then he realised it was a separate thing in November...Jean-Luc won't go to America, he's getting old for that kind of thing. Would you go all that way just for a bit of metal? He will reply to the letter."
Academy spokesperson Leslie Unger told THR Monday:
"We've not formally heard that he's not coming. We certainly hope he can and he will. But if he doesn't, we'll still honor him and have an awards presentation at the event, and we will make sure by appropriate means that the statuette gets to him in due course."