Oscar Watch: Precious, Up in the Air Lead Pre-Holiday Guru Vote

by Anne Thompson
November 26, 2009 2:54 AM
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Thompson on Hollywood
You can assume that most of the voters on Gurus 'O Gold have seen all the movies at this point except The Lovely Bones, Avatar and It's Complicated. So, these press people believe that Invictus (Newsweek's David Ansen reviews it) and Nine are in the race. Here's the new top ten. Keep in mind that in some ways what this list represents is 1) best marketing to date and 2) voting pre-critics groups, National Board of Review, Gothams, Indie Spirits, BAFTA, Golden Globes and Guild nominations and awards. Also, many Oscar campaigns this year are breaking late, for whatever reason. Screeners are just arriving this week.

The voters split on Avatar, Inglourious Basterds and A Serious Man. Trust me, the Coens will get a bump from the critics, as No Country for Old Men did. I confess to being at a loss where Quentin Tarantino is concerned. Many people love the movie (and him!), which is neither perfect nor mainstream. But it's so much more interesting and artful than most movies being made today. Will the critics help him? He needs that boost.

1. Precious
2. Up in the Air
3. The Hurt Locker
4. Invictus
5. An Education
6. Up
7. Nine
8. The Lovely Bones
9. Inglourious Basterds
10. Avatar

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