State of the Oscar Race, Reading the Oscar Nominees Lunch Tea Leaves (VIDEO)

Awards
by Anne Thompson
February 8, 2013 3:32 PM
4 Comments
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As of Friday, February 8, Academy members can vote for the Oscars, right up to February 19. Many have already received their paper ballots, and three have anonymously revealed their votes to the LA Times. All they reveal is that this year, more than most, the race is wide open and hard to call. "It's the best collection of movies in 90 years," says Harvey Weinstein, who is chipper, having finally turned his company fortunes around via box office hits "Django Unchained" and "Silver Linings Playbook," even if they don't wind up winning any Oscars.

Hugh Jackman

I was hoping that reading the tea leaves at the annual Oscar Nominees Luncheon last week would help me to figure out what the hell is going on. "I can't remember a better crop of films in every single category," echoed Academy president Hawk Koch at the lunch. Here's what I learned there.

Weinstein wants to position "Silver Linings" as a more serious movie. It's a romantic comedy, right? No, comedies don't do well at the Oscars, so it's about mental illness! David O. Russell and his cast are all on point as they make their press rounds to Katie Couric and more. "We stigmatize mental illness," Russell told me earnestly at the lunch. "Having that posture toward it is wrong, why treat it like that?"

Jennifer Lawrence did the circuit by the Beverly Hilton pool after the lunch, along with Jackie Weaver --and "Flight" star Denzel Washington (see my video below)--while Robert De Niro did the hand and feet ceremony at The Chinese and submitted to an Aero Tribute and Q &A.

Clearly, many actors support "Silver Linings," even if it didn't win the SAG ensemble prize, as it earned four acting nominations for the first time since "Reds." And De Niro has a good shot at a supporting actor nomination in a wide open field currently led by "Lincoln" SAG-winner Tommy Lee Jones. "David is a wonderful director, and writer, a combination of that," De Niro told me at the lunch. "When we're moving around in a scene, he puts the camera on a steadicam or handheld, on you or on the next character that speaks, back to you, around here, throwing couple lines at you here and there. But the core material is what you've worked on. It's spontaneous, that energy and controlled chaos, it helps the immediacy."

Jennifer Lawrence

"Argo" producer George Clooney has given Ben Affleck some campaigning tips. The tall multi-hyphenate keeps himself humble and self-deprecating in his many acceptance speeches as well as making charming and accessible conversation on his campaign rounds. This is one of the advantages of being an actor in a tough race. People adore Affleck. And he's open about wanting to win this one. I told him that after his PGA, SAG and DGA wins, I've gone over to the "Argo" side for best picture. "You're not going to change your mind and throw us out?" he challenged me.

Kathryn Bigelow exudes nothing but confidence as she enjoys her biggest box office hit to date, "Zero Dark Thirty," and being the subject of a Time Magazine cover story. "It was sort of surreal," she admitted, "but it was great." The room was warm to Bigelow, writer-producer Mark Boal and star Jessica Chastain. This movie, too, has ardent supporters.

Oscar producers Craig Zadan and Neil Meron are starting to reveal their plans for the Oscar show itself. "We approached Adele right at the beginning," said Zadan, "and lined her up in case she got nominated. We've been collaborating with (host) Seth MacFarlane every day, working with him and his writers. We're putting together a surprising and unique opening that is quite different. We wanted to change up stuff and make it new and contemporary and fresh. Seth has some new ideas and there are a lot of surprises, a lot!"

They're not worried about MacFarlane's snarky remarks at the nominations announcement. "On the show itself we're working with Seth every day on everything he's doing," said Zadan. "It's a collaboration, it's not like he's going out there to surprise us, we're going to know everything he's going to do, we will have discussed it, made decisions, we'll be in the loop as to what he's going to say."

Ang Lee and Suraj Sharma


Are they aiming at the global audience or the Hollywood insiders in the room? "A lot of it is accessible," said Zadan, "we've heard it, we don't want an insidery thing. We want something accessible to everyone watching the show. There will be some inside Hollywood jokes of course about some aspects of Hollywood, there's some really hilarious stuff."

The Academy lunch applause meter is always revealing. Academy president Koch, in charge for just one year, is making all the tweaks and changes he can--he even tried to change the venue but was talked out of it. While the usual round tables of nominees and governors were scattered around the room--Sony's Michael Barker hung out with "Les Miserables" director Tom Hooper, Kathryn Bigelow sat next to Robert De Niro, Fox's Jim Gianopulos sat with Bradley Cooper-- there was no alphabetical calling up of the nominees, no ritualistic handing out of the certificates of nomination.

Koch said he was pleased to be saving time at the lunch. What's the rush? It's about the nominees, who submitted to the usual begging to keep acceptance speeches short. "Get to the stage quickly," exhorted Zadan. "You have 45 seconds, winning groups should select a speaker who will begin immediately and give a heartfelt funny speech. Speak from heart, not a piece of paper, you are talking to over a billion people in 225 countries." At that the room visibly rustled with discomfort. "Piece of cake!" cracked my tablemate Mark Andrews, director of "Brave." "Inspire billions! Be funny! Speak from the heart!"

Getting enthusiastic hands were directors Russell, Spielberg, Bigelow, Affleck, Tim Burton, and Malik Bendjelloul of "Searching for Sugar Man," writer Tony Kushner, editor William Goldenberg and "Anna Karenina" designer Sarah Greenwood. The actors always get the biggest hands, from Denzel Washington, Tommy Lee Jones and Jackie Weaver to Naomi Watts, Bradley Cooper, Robert De Niro, Joaquin Phoenix and gamine Quvenzhane Wallis, who got a big laugh by sitting on the Oscar statue in the middle of the photo.

The biggest hand of the day went to director Ang Lee. Visually glorious and spiritually uplifting, "The Life of Pi" is picking up steam as it cleans up with pre-Oscar tech awards and passes the $500 million mark in global box office. It's been tough for Fox to campaign without movie stars--but well-respected Lee and Rhythm & Hues' CG tiger are the film's stars.

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4 Comments

  • raz-s | February 10, 2013 2:42 AMReply

    Anne, I am an ardent follower of your blog. I am also an Israeli, and run a political blog (in Hebrew) about Israeli politics. I can say without a shadow of a doubt that (regrettably) "the Gatekeepers" had absolutely nothing to do with Netanyahu fall in the polls. the people who go see "the Gatekeepers" are those who would never vote for Netanyahu to begin with. I am sorry to say that there is no Israeli Media buzz about the film outside the "oscar race" talk. There are many reasons for the surprising election results in Israel, the Gatekeepers is not one of them.

  • jepressman | February 9, 2013 5:31 PMReply

    The Oscar season always brings out the worst in the film pundits and I guess reporting that Les Miserables has done very well at the international box office and that Jackman is well received is just too much for them. Objectivity is a rare commodity with the pundits.

  • Jamie | February 9, 2013 1:09 AMReply

    No mention at all of Hugh Jackman despite several reports that he got the biggest hand of the day except for Quvenzhane Wallis. You may not be backing him, but he's not exactly chopped liver.

  • ben | February 9, 2013 10:58 PM

    Jamie, you are right. Scott Feinberg stated the whole Lincoln crew received strong applause, and Hugh Jackman & Anne Hathaway received some of the biggest applause of that day. Feinberg reported Ben Affleck's applause was average, and he never mentioned any enthusiasm for Bradley Cooper. This is all subjective.

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