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Nate Silver Predicts the Oscars -- Statistical Frontrunners and Nominees with "more noise than signal"

Awards

"Political calculus" election guru Nate Silver is taking his third stab at Oscar predictions in the six major categories -- he previously predicted in 2009 and 2011 -- and using a no-nonsense approach. While Silver doesn't boast a perfect Oscar track record, he claims that his method of basing the winners off other awards given out in the run-up to the Academy Awards is "the best predictor of Oscar success" and the closest equivalent to pre-election polls.

By Anne Thompson and Beth Hanna
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February 22, 2013 1:10 PM
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News

Following Nate Silver's impressively accurate predictions of the voting outcome in all 50 states for the November 6 election, the NY Times blogger has been approached by Hollywood...