There certainly have been good choices, especially in recent years (“An Inconvenient Truth,” “Taxi to the Dark Side,” “The Fog of War,” “Born Into Brothels”), and the changes wrought over the last couple of seasons have avoided any repeat of the documentary Dark Ages (the ‘90s), during which such masterpieces as “Hoop Dreams,” “Crumb,” “Brothers Keeper” and “ The Thin Blue Line” weren’t even nominated.
And yet… and yet… last year, the choice of the amateurish high school football film “Undefeated” was a Harvey Weinstein-orchestrated joke, and this year, it looks as if anyone betting in an Oscar pool would be well served to go with “Searching for Sugar Man,” which is the one feel-good film in the bunch. A fine film. And as any Oscar watcher knows, picking the most life-affirming, soul-stirring, humanity-validating movie in a given category is never a bad policy when it comes to illegal wagering on the outcome of the Academy Awards.
The situation is made more predictable this year – that’s right, Michael Moore – by the fact that the entire membership will be voting on the category. No more signing in at screenings, and proving you watched all five nominees. No required familiarity with the form. Doc branch members got all the eligible films – and, we have no doubt, watched all 120-plus. The general membership got the five nominees on DVD, and would there be any reason in the world to imagine why they wouldn’t have all knuckled down and watched – right to the end credits -- a relentlessly grim picture about sexual abuse in the military (“The Invisible War”), or the story of AIDS activism (“How to Survive a Plague”), or two films that stick a finger in the eye of the current regime in Israel (“The Gatekeepers,” “5 Broken Cameras”)?
Right. But you know they watched “Searching for Sugar Man,” which is about music, redemption and crowds going crazy for a guy they’d thought was dead. And who, apparently, single-handedly ended apartheid. No one goes wrong going soft on their Oscar choices. “Sugar” is the sweetest in the group, which is why it will win.